1) Both VIC and SA are out of the ‘green zone’ signfying relatively high ‘Market Demand’ in relation to historical records … though still below the red-line ‘all time maximums’.
2) Prices in this dispatch interval have just risen above $1,000/MWh for the first time, after being in the range $300/MWh to $1000/MWh for a few dispatch intervals previously
3) The sun is setting, and so is solar yield – and this unfortunately coincides with a lull in wind production (which we’d seen in these forecasts on Friday).
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
The past week, with wind farm output blowing gangbusters in South Australia (coupled with low demand and System Strength requirements) we seen the “Wind Correlation Penalty” start to bite, with some reactions also beginning to show.
ElectraNet are reporting that at least twenty-three transmission towers and six 132kV stobie poles fell down or were damaged during last night’s wild weather.
A quick snapshot of some volatility in Contingency Raise FCAS Prices in QLD spanning Wednesday 9th October 2024, Thursday 10th October 2024, Friday 11th October 2024.
Some initial analysis looking into the question of whether the increased penetration of solar PV is increasing the variability of scheduled demand to the point that generators can exert more pressure on spot prices.
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