One important feature of today’s extreme market conditions is that actuals for market demand have been landing consistently and significantly above prior P5 and P30 forecasts. The screenshot below (taken at 16:00 NEM time from our Forecast Convergence Widget in ez2view) shows how actuals for total demand have been landing significantly over prior P30 forecasts over the past several hours.
Dan Lee first started at Global-Roam in June 2013. He has departed (and returned) for a couple of stints overseas in that time, but rejoined our team permanently in late 2019.
More recently, Dan's focus has been on growing his understanding of the market and developing his analytical capabilities. He is currently enrolled in the Master of Sustainable Energy program at the University of Queensland.
With the AEMO releasing the 2022 ESOO on Wednesday morning 31st August 2022 with the limited time I have available right now I’ve had a quick look, and in this article highlight some things that jumped out to me.
We’ve already witnessed four price spikes this afternoon as demand in NSW is approaching its expected peak. P5 forecasts are currently projects prices to remain at very elevated levels for the time being.
A second ‘mystery DUID’ puzzle … perhaps more complex than the first … from GenInsights21, for those who like to be challenged in ways like these.
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