A very modest start to summer peak demands

Posted by Paul McArdle Monday, December 20 2010 Topic: Summer 2010-11 in the NEM

The wet weather being experienced around the NEM has led to low levels of demand everywhere – as can be clearly seen in the following chart (taken from NEM-Review 6).

2010-12-20-daily-demand-history

The chart highlights daily peak and average demand for every day since 1st July 2005 – and hence incorporates only periods since Tasmania entered the NEM.

As can be seen:

1)  Demand in summer 2009-10 was lower than the levels experienced in summer 2008-09 (the year the intense heat brought with it soaring demand and then bushfires in VIC and SA – as noted here at the time, and discussed here a little later).  Summer 2010-11 to date has seen demand levels even lower.

2)  We also see that the demand peak for winter 2010 was slightly up on winter 2009 but down on the highest level experienced in winter 2008.

What will be the peak NEM-Wide demand this summer?

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About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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  1. Are you the best demand forecaster in the NEM this summer? | WattClarity
  2. The hot weather arrives, but demand stays low | WattClarity
  3. High temperatures drive NEM-wide demand to 34,400MW | WattClarity

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