Spot volatility, and an Actual LOR1, in South Australia on Thursday 9th February 2023
Prices have subsided somewhat at the time of publication, but here's a record of some volatility earlier this evening in South Australia.
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Weather! The cause of.. and solution to.. all the electricity market’s problems?
Dan Lee tracks the demand forecasts against the actual outcome in QLD last Friday afternoon. The final result was as much as ∼1,000MW lower than the maximum forecast of demand published by the AEMO,...
Price/MWh Harvest in the 2022 Generator Statistical Digest
Nick Bartels of Greenview Strategic Consulting uses the price energy harvest metric from our GSD2022 data extract to examine the recent performance of each fuel type within the NEM.
Investigating last Friday’s frequent frequency swings
Allan O'Neil provides an explainer about how small deviations in supply and demand are managed in the NEM, in order to help us understand the apparent swings in frequency that we noted in QLD...
The GSD2022: A labour of love
David Leitch of ITK Services provides his top insights from the GSD2022, which he has used to look into generation mix, constraints and firming.
Demand shortfall dodges need for large demand side contributions, QLD, 3 Feburary 2023
The forecast for Friday (3 February 2023) evening’s demand was that a new all-time maximum would occur and a lack of reserve was expected. To maintain the grid in a reliable operating state AEMO...
QLD Market Demand for 17:30 lands at ‘only’ 9750MW (Fri 3rd Feb 2023)
(Not even) close ... but no cigar. Actual level of Market Demand in QLD for 17:30 is about 10% below what the most extreme forecast thought it might be.
The worm has turned? Actual demand levels dropping lower than forecast (QLD 3rd Feb 2023) … maybe no record?
Today (Fri 3rd February 2023) is an illustration of the inherent difficulties in 'successfully' forecasting electricity demand!
Spot price volatility has begun (in QLD on Friday 3rd February 2023)
Second price spike in QLD today above $1,000/MWh ... with more to continue?
Wind not blowing in Queensland this afternoon as demand begins to rise
With demand beginning to rise sharply output at Queensland's four wind farms has been muted so far this afternoon.
Guest Authored Posts
How the NEM BESS fleet is operating on peak days, and how to be a savvy operator
In this guest article, Matt Grover from Fluence draws on operational data and real-world trading experience to unpack how Australia’s grid-scale batteries performed across three June 2025 peak days — and what capabilities belong...
Why Gladstone’s prospective closure reveals a new kind of NEM failure
With the Queensland state government’s new energy roadmap due out tomorrow, Greg Elkins highlights how distorted signals and state interventions expose a new NEM failure.
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