Quick Friday morning look-ahead to Friday evening in QLD
A quick article for Friday (3rd Feb 2023) morning, looking ahead to this evening and what AEMO’s current forecasts are saying for this evening.
Eventful Days
Thursday morning look ahead to forecasts for tomorrow (Friday 3rd Feb) evening in Queensland
A quick Thursday morning look at changing forecasts for Friday evening in QLD.
Forecasts pointing to record demand and other risks in QLD for Friday afternoon.. but caveats aplenty
Our fourth article looking forward to this Friday afternoon (3rd February 2023) in the Queensland region, where successive AEMO STPASA forecast data is showing considerable variability about what peak demand might be for the QLD region (it *might*, if predictions turn into reality, smash the prior all-time record). Dan Lee looks into how the demand forecast has been evolving and what to watch for this Friday afternoon.
Plenty of things went wrong in Queensland last Tuesday, but some very important things went right
Whilst there were many things that went wrong on Tuesday 25th May 2021 (last week), guest author Allan O’Neil highlights that there were at least 4 things that went right – contributing to a much less severe outcome than would otherwise have been the case.
Callide C Catastrophic Failure
Carl Daley from EnergyByte, provides more insight into the events of last Tuesday, which culminated in widespread blackouts throughout Queensland.
There were 3 events on Tue 25th May – and it seems likely that QNI separated briefly in Event 2
A deeper look at the frequency data (our own, and also from some others) reveals a number of other interesting things about what happened on Tuesday 25th May 2021 in Queensland.
ABC news report suggests Callide C4 will be offline for a long, long time
My evening reading of an ABC news article (about Callide C) released this afternoon suggests a long, long and expensive outage for Callide C4.
Sequence of Events on 25 May – A Very Short & Partial Visual Guide
Normally this would be part of a much more complete article adding to WattClarity’s growing coverage of the major power system events in Queensland following the incident at Callide C Power Station. However I for one find it easier to…
Here’s 7 of the Headline Questions we’re pondering about, following the dramas in Central Queensland on Tuesday 25th May
Sharing 7 of the ‘Headline Questions’ we’re pondering, as we bury ourselves in the data surrounding the events that happened on Tuesday 25th May … some of which will have long-lasting implications (not to mention detailed investigations).
Three Events Yesterday – with Mainland Frequency as low as 48.555Hz
Part 5 in an expanding series, looking at what happened in QLD on Tuesday 25th May 2021 – this one looking at system frequency.
Callide C4 (tentatively) offline for a year – following turbine hall fire yesterday!
First update, day after the event, shows a cautious (initial) approach to returning the 4 units at the Callide site back to service.
QLD dodged a bullet …. Tue 25th May 2021 (Part 3)?
Third short article this evening, after it looks like we’ve escaped from a tight supply/demand balance (reasonably) unscathed.
Hold onto your hats … QLD’s supply demand balance forecast to be very tight in the hours ahead … Tue 25th May 2021 (Part 2)
Looks set to be a very tight supply/demand balance this evening in Queensland. Here’s hoping everything goes right for the AEMO Control Room!
Loss of ~2000MW of demand in Queensland on Tuesday 25th May
A quick snapshot from NEMwatch at 14:20 today highlighting the loss of approximately 2000MW of demand this afternoon – dropping the level of Scheduled Demand down to 3,775MW: The AEMO Market Notice highlighted says: ——————————————————————- MARKET NOTICE ——————————————————————- From : …
Case Study Part 5 – Why did those constraint bind – in QLD on Tuesday 13th October 2020?
In part 5 of this expanding Case Study of the unexpected price spike on Tuesday 13th Oct, linked to a large & sudden drop in output across 10 solar farms, we take a detailed look at the constraint set ‘Q-BCNE_821’ invoked to deal with the transmission outage between H11 Nebo (in ‘North’ zone) and H10 Bouldercombe (in ‘Central-West’ zone)
Batteries vs. peaking plants – a case study from 13 October
UQ’s Andrew Wilson pens a case study on the market events that occured on Tuesday the 13th of October in the QLD region, in which he examines the relative performance of UQ’s 1.1MW behind-the-meter battery during this period of market volatility.
Case Study Part 4 – Who did What – in QLD on Tuesday 13th October 2020?
In part 4 of this expanding Case Study of the unexpected price spike on Tuesday 13th Oct, linked to a large & sudden drop in output across 10 solar farms, we take a quick look at what happened at most of the QLD generators through this 10:00 trading period.
Case Study Part 3 – digging still deeper, about what happened in QLD on Tuesday 13th October 2020
In part 3 of this expanding Case Study of the unexpected price spike on Tuesday 13th Oct, linked to a large & sudden drop in output across 10 solar farms, we dig deeper to explore… including wondering whether it would have been expected in advance.
Case Study Part 2 – did Rooftop PV kill Large Solar Farm output (and cause the price spike) in QLD on Tuesday 13th October 2020?
Based on some preliminary analysis of the Powerlink’s ‘Qdata’ set (available in ez2view) we present our current hypothesis as to the sequence of the events yesterday in the QLD region, where 600MW of solar generation was lost, causing the price to spike to MPC.
Case Study part 1 – Queensland price spikes to $15,000/MWh at 09:45 on Tuesday 13th October 2020 … coincident with many Large Solar Farms (tripping**)
Alerted to a price spike at 09:45 this morning in the QLD region, we discovered some reduction in load (spot-exposed Demand Response probably) and also a large collective trip in Solar Farm output (reasons unclear).