Preliminary Report Released: NSW Load Shedding on 8 July 2024
A challenging sequence of events is detailed in the preliminary report on load shedding in NSW on 8 July 2024.
Eventful Days
Final figures for wind production through 2024 Q2
We’ve ticked over the end of 2024 Q2, so here’s a short note to recap the long-range wind production statistics.
AEMO directs load shedding (following unplanned network outages) in NSW on Monday evening 8th July 2024
A short (perhaps initial) record of load shedding instructed for NSW on Monday evening 8th July 2024.
A running view of the recent wind drought
A view of cumulative total wind production in Q2, highlighting a lack of spatial resource diversity, and the future challenges for gas and long-duration storage.
Solar Farms in south-western NSW constrained to 0MW on Monday 24th June 2024
A quick look at the ‘N-DPWG_63_X5’ constraint set as a driver for the curtailment of solar (and other) units in south-western NSW on Monday 24th June 2024.
Where’s the wind gone, through 2024 Q2? … with June perhaps even worse than April or May!
Extending the ‘worm line’ cumulative trend of wind production through 2024 Q2 (to 22nd June) and comparing to 2023, 2022, 2021 and 2020 reveals a picture that is, at the same time, both frightening … but also completely expected (at least for some).
Forecast for a moderate burst of wind to round out the month or June 2024
A short article looking forward to AEMO’s forecast NEM-wide wind capability for the remainder of June 2024.
Kogan Creek back online, late Friday 21st June 2024
Worth noting that on Friday evening 21st June 2024 Kogan Creek came back online, ~36 hours after it had come offline.
Tarong unit 3 comes offline late Friday afternoon 21st June 2024 – appears not planned in advance
Tarong unit 3 came offline late Friday afternoon 21st June 2024 … we take a quick first look
Barron Gorge Unit 2 gets a run, on Friday 21st June 2024
On Friday 21st June 2024 the unit 2 of Barron Gorge hydro facility has started up – the next step in a repair process following TC Jasper six months ago.
190 minutes of low IRPM (reaching 11.01% at 18:05) on Thursday evening 20th June 2024
A brief recap on another consecutive evening of low NEM-wide IRPM – on Thursday 20th June 2024.
A look at where the wind has and hasn’t been blowing over the last three nights
A look into the geographic spread and diversity of wind production over the past three evenings, where we’ve seen supply-demand tightness across the NEM.
Kogan Creek comes offline, on Thursday 20th June 2024
Amongst other things happening in the past 24 hours, the large Kogan Creek coal-fired power station in southern QLD came offline this morning in an outage that appears anticipated two days prior … but was not fully planned weeks in advance.
A brief review of the (only!) 88MW of wind output NEM-wide at 13:20 on Thursday 13th June 2024
In an earlier article today, we identified the 13:20 dispatch interval on Thursday 13th June 2024 was one with very, very low level of wind … in this short article we take a very quick look.
Correlation between low wind Capacity Factor and low IRPM (NEM-wide) in recent evenings + Thursday evening looks likely to be low, as well.
Given what’s happened for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday evening this week (and even tighter supply-demand balance forecast for Thursday evening) we take a look at the correlation between low IRPM and low Capacity Factor across all Wind Farms.
AEMO publishes ‘East Coast Gas System Risk or Threat Notice’
On Wednesday 19th June 2024 the AEMO has published this ‘East Coast Gas System Risk or Threat Notice’.
A shorter and shallower bout of low IRPM on Wednesday evening 19th June 2024
A brief recap of Wednesday evening 19th June 2024.
Tallawarra B gets a run, on Tuesday 18th June 2024
On Tuesday 18th June 2024, Tallawarra B was running for a period (after a lengthy period offline).
Tomorrow’s brief network outage (on the Rowville – South Morang 500 kV line) *might* have high impact
A short note about the (possibly high impact) short outage planned tomorrow on the Rowville – South Morang 500 kV line in VIC (re the ‘V-ROSM’ constraint set)
NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ above 30,000MW on Wednesday *morning* 19th June 2024
A short note about a spell of high NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ on Wednesday morning 19th June 2024.