Examples of self-forecasting behaviours – part 2 – relative accuracy
The forecast differences would contribute to improved lower RMSE and MAE scores, relative to AWEFS_ASEFS, in the weekly performance assessment.
Energy Transition
A large collection of articles pertaining to the ongoing ‘Energy Transition’ in any of a number of ways.
Specific sub-categories relate to such things as Coal Closure, and other aspects of the transition.
Examples of self-forecasting behaviours – part 1 – biasing
In today’s article (part 1 in this series) we present an example of biasing (at an unnamed solar farm), which we find aligns with FCAS cost mitigation.
Stacking up: Unlocking multiple revenue streams in the NEM
Ben Nethersole from Baringa summarises the different contracting routes available for renewables and storage, and how project business cases are increasingly stacking these together.
A trend of aggregate ‘Dispatch Error’ for each Semi-Scheduled fuel type on Monday 26th May 2025
Let’s now return to Monday 26th May 2025 to look at aggregate ‘Dispatch Error’ across both Semi-Scheduled fuel types for all dispatch intervals in the day.
Was Monday evening’s new record wind production well forecast in advance?
Taking a closer look at the new 'highest ever' point for NEM-wide Wind Production on Monday 26th May 2025, and how well this was forecast in advance.
Buronga No.5 330kV synchronous condenser has been commissioned in NSW
AEMO notes that 'At 1700 hrs 20/05/2025, the Buronga No.5 330kV synchronous condenser has been commissioned.'
Adoption and use of dispatch self-forecasting for solar units, Q1 2025
47% of dispatch intervals for semi-scheduled solar units are seeing a self-forecast used. When there are gaps, was the unit suppressed?
Directions up to almost five a day
In this article we delve into the indicators we can uncover which point to the increase in market interventions and generator directions over recent years.
Callide C out of Voluntary Administration
A short not tying together several different notes about Callide C - the part buyout by 7GI and resurrection of out voluntary administration (and outage on C3).
Aligning business cases with the current, and future, reality
Following his presentation at the CEC's Wind Industry Forum, Jonathon Dyson shares lessons learned from helping developers and operators of wind projects in solidifying their business case.
A review of the traditional form of Demand Response (part 1)
I'm slated to participate at a panel session at the EUAA National Conference on Wednesday 7th May 2025, so have prepared some analysis to talk through...
There are (at least) 4 Lenses, through which to view Coal Closure
The way I see it, there are at least these 4 lenses that need to be viewed together to understand the complexities relating to coal closure.
AEMC underway with review of the Centralised Negawatt Dispatch Mechanism (a.k.a. the WDRM), and consultation closed
Submissions at the AEMC already closed over a week ago, with respect to their review of WDRM. Here's some starting thoughts ...
Adoption and use of dispatch self-forecasting for wind units, Q1 2025
We summarise how wind units are using self-forecasting to-date. The analysis leads us to consider where upcoming market change may lead the industry.
Four days in the NEM in four minutes
Dan shares a short time-lapse video which demonstrates four days worth of activity in the NEM, highlighting the impact of network congestion in QLD and NSW.
Do we have enough gas to wait until nuclear comes along?
Tristan Edis of Green Energy Markets discusses the practicalities of the gap that must be filled by the gas sector under the nuclear power timeline proposed by the Federal Opposition.
Games that self-forecasters can* play (Part 1 – An Overview)
I've promised to write this article for some time, but a few recent events (and looming start of FPP) have caused me to publish this now.
AEMC draft determination, about ‘Allowing AEMO to accept cash as credit support’
A little over 2 weeks ago (on Thu 3rd April 2025) the AEMC made a draft determination on the rule change proposal by Delta Electricity to allow AEMO to accept cash as credit support.
A boost in transfer capacity with PEC Stage 1
Worth capturing MN126466 published at 11:12 today with respect to PEC Stage 1.
The challenge of imperfect foresight: Storage operation in a highly renewable NEM
Josh Boegheim from Powerlink discusses the limitations of perfect foresight assumptions for system planning—and shares results from a recent study that simulated energy storage dispatch using deterministic and stochastic forecasting approaches.