Final figures for wind production through 2024 Q2
We’ve ticked over the end of 2024 Q2, so here’s a short note to recap the long-range wind production statistics.
Energy Transition
A large collection of articles pertaining to the ongoing ‘Energy Transition’ in any of a number of ways.
Specific sub-categories relate to such things as Coal Closure, and other aspects of the transition.
Where’s the wind gone, through 2024 Q2? … with June perhaps even worse than April or May!
Extending the ‘worm line’ cumulative trend of wind production through 2024 Q2 (to 22nd June) and comparing to 2023, 2022, 2021 and 2020 reveals a picture that is, at the same time, both frightening … but also completely expected (at least for some).
Correlation between low wind Capacity Factor and low IRPM (NEM-wide) in recent evenings + Thursday evening looks likely to be low, as well.
Given what’s happened for Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday evening this week (and even tighter supply-demand balance forecast for Thursday evening) we take a look at the correlation between low IRPM and low Capacity Factor across all Wind Farms.
Tallawarra B gets a run, on Tuesday 18th June 2024
On Tuesday 18th June 2024, Tallawarra B was running for a period (after a lengthy period offline).
Federal Coalition announces 7 sites proposed for nuclear power
A very short article to record the Federal Coalition’s announcement of possible sites for nuclear power stations.
Gas-fired generation running more strongly in TAS (and Tamar Valley CCGT for the first time) than it has over the past 5 years
Early in June 2024 we see the Tamar Valley CCGT unit running strongly in Tasmania for the first time in just over 5 years … part of the strongest run of gas-fired generation in TAS in a long time.
Reviewing 270 days of bidding at Tallawarra B … following news of delays
Following Colin Packham’s article in the Australian, we take a look in the market data at EnergyAustralia’s Tallawarra B
How predictable is the wind (a short Case Study of Thursday evening 30th May 2024)?
An (initial and) short review of the solid block of high aggregate wind yield over the ~3 day date range (late Tuesday 28th May 2024 to late Friday 31st May 2024) … and how much this was expected in advance.
What impact did the extension to Eraring have on traded prices for NSW Futures?
Reaching for the same NEMreview query we’ve used a few times in 2024 Q2, we take a look at how futures prices have traded in NSW, following the announcement of agreement to extend the service life at Eraring Power Station.
Eraring Power Station extension now in MT PASA DUID Availability data
A short follow-on article to this morning’s (about the notice of extension to service for Eraring Power Station) reflecting the update of AEMO data.
Eraring Power Station closure delayed by 2 years (or maybe 4?)
Thursday morning 23rd May 2024 saw a media News Conference and announcement that Eraring closure will be delayed until August 2027 … or possibly as far out as August 2029.
AEMO releases an update to the 2023 ESOO on Tuesday 21st May 2024
It’s Tuesday 21st May 2024 and the AEMO has published an update to the 2023 ESOO … about 8 months since the publication of the prior release, and 4 months before the 2024 ESOO. Some implications for the anticipated closure of Eraring?
Low wind conditions to persist, NEM-wide, for at least another week
Following an article yesterday about ‘another challenging week for VRE NEM-wide, we take a quick look at forecasts for the coming 7 days and see low wind persisting.
‘Another challenging week’ for VRE NEM-wide, beginning Wednesday 8th May 2024
Coincidentally today, David Osmond has posted about ‘another challenging week’ for VRE NEM-wide (a week beginning Wed 8th May 2024 – the day NSW hit the Cumulative Price Threshold).
So how much did Eraring Power Station supply, of the NSW electricity consumption, over 5 days to 11th May 2024?
Following a reminder in a phone call today, I’ve updated the date range in a NEMreview trend previously used in February to look at percentage of Underlying Demand in NSW supplied for each half hour over the 5 day period Monday 6th May 2024 to Friday 10th May 2024 (which includes 3 volatile periods leading to Administered Pricing).
Bruce Mountain’s commentary about Eraring (and the Energy Transition) is worth a read
Today (Wed 15th May 2024) Bruce Mountain writes an opinion piece in the Australian about the recent run of Administered Pricing in NSW, and what it means for the looming closure of Eraring and the energy transition.
More considerations, about the possible extension of Eraring Power Station
On Tuesday 30th April 2024 we reported of rumours about possible extension to Eraring Power Stations. In the 8 days that have followed since that update several things have happened. In this article we provide an update.
Regulation FCAS Costs in 2023
Following a presentation with the CEC, Linton shared some insights into FCAS Regulation costs for wind and solar units over last calendar year.
Keeping Up with the Curtailment Part 2: The what and the where
Dan Lee takes a deeper dive into network and economic curtailment, and shares some charts and data maps that demonstrate seasonal effects, and the geographic spread of units affected.
The Grattan report ‘Keeping the lights on’ is worth a read
Enroute to Melbourne today for the EUAA National Conference starting tomorrow, I grabbed some flight time to have a quick read through the Grattan Institute’s latest offering – a 45-page report appropriately titled ‘Keeping the Lights on’: Quite topical that…