Latest MT PASA modelling results show no Low Reserve Conditions
The latest MT PASA results, published today (Tuesday 6th October 2026) show no Low Reserve Conditions forecast.
A collation of articles published on WattClarity pertaining to the looming closure of the 4 units at Yallourn Power Station, and the performance of the units prior to the closure.
The latest MT PASA results, published today (Tuesday 6th October 2026) show no Low Reserve Conditions forecast.
Four weeks ago we asked two questions 'where is the Energy/Capacity going to come from (in just 2 years) to replace all that Energy that Yallourn has been producing this winter?'. Here's the start of an answer to that question, though still incomplete...
It’s quite a topical question (that we’ve contributed to recently), so I thought I would have a look at what is noted within the ESOO about the looming closure of Yallourn.
via 'Forecast Convergence' widget, we see (to date) consistent reporting to the AEMO of envisaged closure of all 4 x units at Yallourn being 1st July 2028.
Given the discussions about looming Yallourn closure, and the implications of this, worth noting a change in the latest weekly MT PASA run.
For a coincidence of several different reasons, here's a quick initial overview of how Yallourn Power Station has been performing over time, and particularly in Winter 2026 ytd.
In anticipation of this month's release of the 2026 ESOO, a short article noting the forecast shortfalls flagged in this Tuesday's updated MT PASA modelling via MN144738 published at 14:52 (NEM time) on Tue 4th August 2026.
We thought it might be useful to point directly to the 61-page report ‘Managing the Transition to Renewable Energy’ by the Victorian Auditor-General.
Following media reporting from Monday about 'blackouts' and 'Eraring closure', today (Wednesday 3rd December) there's a media report about 'blackouts' and 'Yallourn closure'
We noticed Bruce Mountain’s comments on LinkedIn about Newport power station running overnight, so had a look in ez2view.
It was no surprise at all to open the AFR and see 4 different analysts quoted in voicing their concerns about the unrealistic notion that Eraring can close in 2027 ... or perhaps even in 2029:
On Sunday 8th September 2024 the Herald Sun published an article speculating about possible Service Life extension to Yallourn Power Station.
Yallourn unit 1 has just come offline for its Major Planned 'performance improvement' outage - but coincident with that, Yallourn unit 3 is suffering from a run of forced outages.
A short article to mark the start of the long planned outage for Yallourn unit 1, which is aimed (at least in part) at improving the performance of the unit following 2022.
A client question (for GenInsights Quarterly Updates) recently prompted a quick look at the delay to the start of the planned outage for Yallourn Unit 1.
Remembering a question that were were asked by a client in December 2023 (about Yallourn power station) we take a quick look at the start of 2024.
A belated and back-dated article to point to the EnergyAustralia Media Release of 7th August 2023 about the $400 million outage plans for Yallourn for 2023 and 2024.
Prompted by the massive loss reported by CLP for its EnergyAustralia business, and plans for major outages for 4 units at Yallourn, we took a quick look using ez2view at outage plans.
A belated and back-dated article to point to the EnergyAustralia Media Release of 8th August 2022 following the Energy Crisis.
A brief (and back-dated) article pointing to the confidential “safety net” agreement struck between the VIC Govt and EnergyAustralia to keep Yallourn Power Station operational until mid-2028.