Trended physical/technical availability of Semi-Scheduled units – aggregated
A zoomed-out view of six metrics supports understanding of physical/technical semi-scheduled generator availability.
semi-scheduled generation
3.5 months after the turbine fire at Bulgana Wind Farm, we take an updated look
Combining together a bundle of different metrics related to the 'availability' of a wind farm, we take a look at what's happened at Bulgana Wind Farm over the past ~25 months.
Highlighting particular (frequency and/or AggROT) events through 2024 and 2025
In this article, we tie together various events since 1st January 2024 that featured either System Frequency outside the NOFB and large AggROT for Semi-Scheduled assets.
Peeling the onion a little more – Solar Farm performance on Tuesday 19th August 2025, with the frequency spike to 50.2Hz
As the 5th article in an evolving series that progressively explores the (apparent self-forecasting glitch and) frequency spike on Tuesday 19th August 2025, we take an early look at Solar Farm performance.
An updated tabular list of instances of large AggROT across Semi-Scheduled units
Earlier today we trended the incidence of large Aggregate Raw Off-Target across all Semi-Scheduled units. In this updated tabulated list, we list each of the largest instances from January 2024 to June 2025.
An updated long-range trend of large instances of Aggregate Raw Off-Target (AggROT) across all Semi-Scheduled units
It's ~18 months since we took a look at the trend of large instances of Aggregate Raw Off-Target across all Semi-Scheduled units. In this article we update the analysis with data to 30th June...
Three broader questions (re)triggered by the Frequency Spike on Tuesday 19th August 2025
The (concerning) frequency spike across the NEM in the middle of the day (Tuesday 19th August 2025) has triggered many proximate questions - understandable - but also has raised these 3 Broader Questions.
Submissions closing tomorrow (Wed 13th Aug 2025) to AEMO consultation on ‘Primary Frequency Response Test Guidelines for Semi-Scheduled Plant’
Worth noting, as I've just become aware, that submissions close tomorrow on AEMO's consultation on Primary Frequency Response (PFR) Test Guidelines for Semi-Scheduled Plant
Would it even be possible – to operate the NEM to achieve 82% renewable energy in 2030 (if the Semi-Scheduled category continues in its current form)?
Yesterday's release of the draft report of the Nelson Review has prompted me to re-frame a question I've asked before about the Semi-Scheduled category.
Which units show large positive Dispatch Error for 15:40 on Monday 16th June 2025
Following on from Linton's article (about the frequency drop at 15:40 on Monday 16th June 2025) we take a look at the largest harmful Dispatch Errors across the full fleet of units ... and...
A map showing the geographic spread of semi-scheduled dispatch errors on Monday 26th May 2025
Dan adds to our ongoing case study into the events of Monday 26th May 2025, by mapping the dispatch error across all semi-scheduled units for the 16:15 dispatch interval that afternoon.
Across 188 Semi-Scheduled DUIDs – Dispatch Error at 16:15 on Monday 26th May 2025
This is my second article today relating to events on Monday 26th May 2025 - with this article looking at Dispatch Error for each of the 188 x Semi-Scheduled units to 16:15.
A trend of aggregate ‘Dispatch Error’ for each Semi-Scheduled fuel type on Monday 26th May 2025
Let’s now return to Monday 26th May 2025 to look at aggregate ‘Dispatch Error’ across both Semi-Scheduled fuel types for all dispatch intervals in the day.
Poor dispatch performance of VRE (collectively) on Monday 26th May 2025 sufficiently large to drive frequency outside of NOFB
Prior to the Brisbane session of the Nelson Review Panel (on Thu 29th May 2025) we take a look at Dispatch Error in the 16:15 dispatch interval on Monday 26th May 2025 to see...
Adoption and use of dispatch self-forecasting for wind units, Q1 2025
We summarise how wind units are using self-forecasting to-date. The analysis leads us to consider where upcoming market change may lead the industry.
The growing NEM BESS fleet: Who is controlling all this capacity, anyway?
Matt Grover from Fluence shares insights into the NEM's growing big battery fleet and what it means for the market and their operators. This article follows on from his keynote at the ESS two...
What’s happened to those Semi-Scheduled units registered to provide FCAS?
Following a question from a client today, we take a quick look at (some of) what the GSD2024 reveals of FCAS market participation of Semi-Scheduled units.
AER published ‘Semi-Scheduled Generator Compliance Bulletin’ on Tuesday 4th February 2025
Two weeks after the AER published its updated Compliance Bulletin (and Compliance Checklist) for Semi-Scheduled units, we've finally found time to note about it.
Where are those Semi-Scheduled Wind Farms in Victoria that were reviewed w.r.t. Monday 16th December 2024
To assist readers in our ongoing review of possible high-temperature (or other) effects on Wind Farm output in Victoria on Monday 16th December 2024, here’s a map we’ve put together to help indicate the...
AEMO’s 2024 Intermittent Generator Forum provides renewed awareness for wind and solar generators
Information spanned a wide range of topics related to intermittent generator forecasting, and included a guest presentation by the AER.