NSW demand currently forecast to peak up at 13,500MW on Tuesday 19th December
Current forecasts at AEMO show NSW demand forecast to peak above 13,500MW (which would easily be the highest December demand in NSW since 2009).
Articles by Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
Coincident warm demand forecast for VIC and NSW tomorrow late afternoon (Monday 18th December)
AEMO forecasts NEM-wide demand to exceed 32,000MW tomorrow (Monday 18th December), which is far higher than seen in December 2016, and one reason for the LOR1 low reserve notices.
“Scheduled Demand” in Victoria stopped short of 8,500MW today (lower than forecast) but the demand peak forecast for NSW tomorrow has grown to almost 13,000MW
Demand in Victoria peaked lower than forecast today, but demand forecasts for NSW tomorrow are continuing to climb.
High temperatures to give demand a kick in Victoria tomorrow (Wednesday 13th December)
AEMO forecasts higher demand in Victoria (and South Australia) tomorrow with the hot weather - and a slight LOR1 warning.
Electricity demand set to climb in NSW on Thursday with the hot weather forecast
With hot weather forecast for NSW this Thursday (especially in inland areas) it's no surprise to see that the AEMO is forecasting higher demand on the day. Linked to this there is also a...
AEMO updates generator combinations for SA system strength
AEMO has adjusted the formula (i.e. constraint equations) used to manage system strength in South Australia, which has been (since mid-2017) by constraining down the output of wind farms under certain conditions.
Big ramp in QLD demand Thursday evening to be first time above 8000MW this summer
Queensland demand ramped up, after the sun had gone down Thursday evening, to pass 8000MW for the first time this summer
The first stage of the Kidston Energy Park powers up
With Genex releasing an ASX announcement of first revenue at Kidston Solar Farm, we use NEMreview v7 to have a quick look.
Unfortunately no time for a “Best Peak Demand Forecaster” competition for summer 2017-18
For reasons explained herein, we're unable to set aside the time required to run a competition on the "best peak demand forecaster in the NEM" for summer 2017-18.
AEMC released Final Determination on Five Minute Settlement on 28th November 2017
A quick look back at the AEMC's Final Determination on Five Minute Settlement.
It’s complete baloney to claim that there’s “less than 1%” of peak demand in the NEM that is currently providing Demand Response
Some quick thoughts (before I run out of time) about why it's all-too-commonly (but mistakenly) stated that there's not much Demand Response in the NEM
If you increase your consumption of energy at a time when average emissions intensity is low, you’re not necessarily doing a good thing for the environment
A quick note about the need to avoid focusing on average emissions intensity (for the wrong reasons) and losing sight of the fact that it's the emissions intensity of the next marginal unit of...
Hornsdale Power Reserve (a.k.a. “the world’s biggest battery”) begins to charge, and also discharges for the first time on Saturday
It's Saturday 25th November 2017 and what is currently known as "the worlds biggest battery" has kicked into gear - charging for a couple hours this morning.
Some simple calculations to help get my head around the scale of the numbers pertaining to Battery Storage
Some quick calculations performed today to help me try to understand what the future might hold, in terms of battery storage (given I've been asked to talk batteries today at the National Consumer Roundtable...
Following up, with a top-down (NEM-wide) look at daily solar production (small and large) through 2017
Following on from my earlier post about my own experiences as a small power generator (with solar PV at home), I've taken a broader look at solar PV production NEM-wide, including over the corresponding...
Some initial musings about my own Rooftop Solar Learning Exercise
There's already been a large uptake of distributed energy generation data, and there promises to be much more to come in this energy transition. With this comes some significant challenges - along with opportunities...
Analytical Challenge – avoiding Recency Bias
Flagging the ongoing challenge of not extrapolating from recent performance to infer that "things" will always be that way.
The two, SA Government-owned, “Emergency Generators” produce first power whilst commissioning
The two emergency generators provide first power to the South Australian grid.
Villain #2 – we, the voting public
My sense is that we, the voting public, are Villains #2 in running the energy transition train off the tracks.
Villain #1 – our Emperors (present, past and would-be) have no clothes
First up in our listing of Villains in relation to the unfolding energy crisis are, of course, our political leaders - State and Federal, past, present and prospective.