Also new ‘lowest ever’ point for Market Demand in South Australia on Sunday 31st December 2023
Fourth article today, taking a quick look at neighbouring South Australia - which has also seen a new 'lowest ever' level of Market Demand.
Articles by Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
Part 3 … Victorian demand holding up at higher levels than successive AEMO forecasts
Third article today, focusing on an apparent anomaly between AEMO's P30 and P5 predispatch forecasts for Victorian demand today (Sun 31st Dec 2023).
Part 2 – What’s running in Victoria today (apart from strong rooftop PV)?
A second article today on this challenging day for the Victorian grid, looking at which supply sources are running.
Demand in Victoria drops to a new lowest point on Sunday 31st December 2023, and AEMO flags possible intervention (Part 1?)
First article today, recording a new 'lowest ever' point for demand in Victoria (Sun 31st Dec 2023), and possible intervention from AEMO has it looks to drop further, leading to possible grid instability.
25 days to go, until the initial return of Callide C3 (waiting another 141 days for Callide C4)
As December 2023 draws to a close, we take another look at return-to-service expectations for Callide C3 (a couple more weeks) and then Callide C4 (a few more months). References Nick Evans' interesting articles.
Looking back at the high demand levels seen in the past two days in Queensland
Taking a quick look back at two days of extreme levels of demand in Queensland during the 'sleepy period' between Xmas and New Year.
Queensland electricity demand climbs higher still, on Friday 29th December 2023
Some quick initial notes about the second day of remarkably high demand in QLD during the normally 'sleepy' period between Xmas and New Year (Fri 29th Dec 2023).
AEMO forecasts that tomorrow’s demand in QLD (i.e. Fri 29th Dec 2023) will be higher than today
Second short article on Thursday evening 28th December 2023, looking forward to Friday evening 29th December 2023.
QLD ‘Market Demand’ climbs past 9,500MW on Thursday 28th December 2023
Noteworthy that in the sleepy period between Christmas and New Year the QLD region can exceed 9,500MW (fast approaching an all-time maximum) on the first day of a two-day state wide heatwave.
An initial exploration of QLD’s spike at 14:30 on Thursday 21st December 2023
An initial look at the 'out of the blue' price spike in QLD at 14:30 on Thursday 21st December 2023.
Dan Lee’s reflections about ‘the year that was in 2023’ via the WattClarity insight service
Yesterday (Thu 22nd Dec 2023), Dan Lee posted a summary of WattClarity service through 2023 on our company website. Today I'm sharing that with WattClarity readers here.
Consultation on ‘Orderly Exit Management Framework Framework’ for coal units
A short article (day after release) about the proposed 'Orderly Exit Management Framework' for coal units
AEMO forecast for LOR2 in NSW on Tuesday 19th December 2023
A short initial note about AEMO's currently forecast LOR2 for NSW next Tuesday 19th December 2023.
AEMO released draft of 2024 Integrated System Plan … cue the media headlines
It's Friday 15th December 2023 and the AEMO has published its draft of the 2024 ISP, in time for everyone's Christmas reading list
Belated notice from the AEMO about RERT contracted for yesterday (Thu 14th Dec 2023)
It's Friday morning and AEMO has just published a Market Notice to alert the market that RERT was contracted for yesterday evening in NSW (Thu 14th Dec 2023).
Disallowed flow north on VIC1-NSW1 another significant factor in tight supply-demand in NSW + QLD
A quick look at how restrictions in southern NSW meant that Victoria could not export to NSW through the afternoon ... hence contributing to the tight supply-demand situation.
Wind production ramps down in NSW, coincident with Increased Demand (and then Actual LOR2)
One factor contributing to the tight supply-demand balance is the decline in wind production (and capability) inverse to the rise in 'Market Demand'.
Actual LOR2 in NSW from 17:30 on Thursday 14th December 2023
'Market Demand' has ramped back up, leading to an 'Actual LOR2' low reserve condition in NSW on Thu 14th Dec 2023
NSW ‘Market Demand’ climbs past 13,000MW – and IRPM drops – but prices stay moderate
NSW 'Market Demand' exceeds 13,000MW for the first time today (Thu 14th Dec 2023)
NSW ‘Market Demand’ squeezes 12,500MW as price passes $500/MWh
Getting closer to the time of forecast peak in demand, the forecast LOR2 is revised downwards.