We might see a new all-time record for NEM-wide Wind Production to bring in the EOFY

There’s been quite a number of people writing about the remarkable 4-day wind lull in South Australia, including us here on WattClarity®, including:

• that ‘the wind has awoken …’ through Wednesday evening 24th June 2026 and into Thursday morning 25th June 2026.
• and that the wind lull lasted just over 4 days in duration (i.e. with instantaneous fleet availability below 10% for a shade over 4 days).
• we’d asked ‘How bad is the current Wind Lull in South Australia, compared to history?’ … following which
• we crunched numbers and noted ‘The recent 4-day ‘Wind Lull’ in South Australia *was* the worst since *at least* 2019’ to which readers have added their own analysis to stretch back to June 2017.

There’s plenty of other commentary as well, some of which we see referenced ours.

So for readers here, it’s also worth noting (again, yin-and-yang) that the wind is set to roar back across the NEM in coming days, with the current ST PASA forecast being for a possible yield (barring curtailment!) of 10,185MW in the half-hour to 02:00 on Thursday 2nd July 2026 – as we see from this snapshot from a pre-configured ez2view ‘Trends Engine’ query:

Should the wind capability be that high, and should there be no curtailment, then the yield would just scrape in above the prior all-time record (10,159MW from 25th July 2025).

This one is published in Dashboards here, for general consumption … so let’s see how we go…