Since we wrote about the ‘Spicy prices forecast for NSW on Monday afternoon/evening 20th October 2025’, price forecasts have subsided again (as at the P30 predispatch run got 11:30).
But it remains a ‘watch this space’ and so we should highlight the unplanned outage of Dapto – Marulan (8) 330 kV line, which the AEMO flagged in MN129825 at 08:07 … which was coincidentally prior to the P30 predispatch run for 09:00 (NEM time), which was when the price forecasts stepped up:
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MARKET NOTICE
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From : AEMO
To : NEMITWEB1
Creation Date : 20/10/2025 08:07:55
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Notice ID : 129825
Notice Type ID : INTER-REGIONAL TRANSFER
Notice Type Description : Inter-Regional Transfer limit variation
Issue Date : 20/10/2025
External Reference : Inter-regional transfer limit variation – Dapto – Marulan (8) 330 kV line – NSW region – 20/10/2025
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Reason :
AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE
Inter-regional transfer limit variation – Dapto – Marulan (8) 330 kV line – NSW region – 20/10/2025
At 0755 hrs 20/10/2025 there was an unplanned outage of Dapto – Marulan (8) 330 kV line.
The following constraint set(s) invoked at 0800 hrs 20/10/2025
N-DTMN_8_15M
This constraint set(s) contains equations with the following interconnectors on the LHS.
N-Q-MNSP1,NSW1-QLD1,VIC1-NSW1,V-S-MNSP1
Refer to the AEMO Network Outage Scheduler for further information.
Manager NEM Real Time Operations
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END OF REPORT
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Here’s a view of the ‘N-DTMN_8_15M’ constraint set in ez2view:
This shows that (at the present time) the expectation is that the unplanned network outage will be finished by 17:00 (NEM time) today.
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