Load Shedding … i.e. LOR3 (briefly) *also* forecast for NSW on Tuesday 17th December 2024

Posted by Paul McArdle Thursday, December 12 2024 Topic: 2024-12-16, 2024-12-17

Yes, you read that correctly – unfortunately.

Not only do we have ‘wider and deeper’ forecast load shedding for NSW on Monday 16th December (and forecast LOR2 in VIC for the same day), but (as shown in this snapshot from ‘Forecast Convergence’ in ez2view at 10:30 dispatch interval) we also now have a forecast for LOR3 in NSW for Tuesday 17th December 2024:

2024-12-12-at-10-25-ez2view-ForecastConvergence-LOR-NEMwidedemand

Also noted is the forecast for NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ being above 33,000MW for a period of time on Monday 16th December 2024.

 

Hold onto your hats….

 

PS1 then dropped back to forecast LOR2

A quick update, in conjunction with a change of article title.  The red dot shown above was forecast in the ST PASA run produced for 09:00 on Thursday 12th December 2024.

1)  It pertained to the half-hour period ending 16:00 on Tuesday 17th December 2024

2)  But was dropped back to ‘only’ forecast LOR2 in the next ST PASA run (for 10:00 on Thursday 12th December 2024).

 

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About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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