Apologies to readers here for what might seen a short (perhaps cryptic and unsatisfying) article that’s intended to augment the discussion in the deeper review of 2024 Q2.
Here’s a trend of calculated NEM-wide IRPM over a 9-day period in June 2024 …
One of three founders of Global-Roam back in 2000, Paul has been CEO of the company since that time.
As an author on WattClarity, Paul's focus has been to help make the electricity market more understandable.
Our Managing Director spoke at the “Australian Energy & Utility Summit 08” in
Sydney on Tuesday 22nd July 2008, touching on a number of issues including the nature of peak demand forecasts (for winter in the NSW region) over the coming 10 years
Available Generation in QLD has been quite the see-saw following the imposition of Administered Pricing on Sunday evening, 12th June 2022. This is the 3rd occasion this evening we see ‘Actual LOR2’ warning.
Can someone outline how semi-sched and batteries are treated in this calculation please? For very little variation in Market Demand, the IRPM seems to be almost precisely out of phase with maximum generation. Not unsurprising, but if this IRPM is calculated assuming charged batteries and predicted wind then once you get down around 10% you really are only a hiccup away from a problem – particularly in a region unable to be supported via a transmission constrained market. Gets even more precarious if some of your assumed generation is coal that has been decommitted for a few days and is now cold.
Can someone outline how semi-sched and batteries are treated in this calculation please? For very little variation in Market Demand, the IRPM seems to be almost precisely out of phase with maximum generation. Not unsurprising, but if this IRPM is calculated assuming charged batteries and predicted wind then once you get down around 10% you really are only a hiccup away from a problem – particularly in a region unable to be supported via a transmission constrained market. Gets even more precarious if some of your assumed generation is coal that has been decommitted for a few days and is now cold.