There might be a sustained burst of wind generation to finish off the month of May 2024

Posted by Paul McArdle Monday, May 27 2024 Topic: 2024-05-29, 2024-05-30 all-time maximum wind, 2024-05-31

In recent days we’ve seen reasonably low levels of aggregate wind production across the NEM during evening periods (i.e. after sunset and when ‘Market Demand’ peaks).

We’ve seen this on Thursday 23rd May and Friday 24th May and Saturday 25th May and Sunday 26th May … though Brendan was not overly surprised by this:

2024-05-26-Twitter-Brendan

… and Mike noted:

‘Autumn is always the calmest season in the south (ask any sailor :), where much of wind production is located, June tends to get windier as the Southern Ocean gales pick up. And so May is becoming the high cost month in terms of spot pricing.’

A quick reference to this live-updating dashboard produced by the ez2view ‘Trends Engine’ reveals the following picture:

2024-05-27-at-08-21-ez2view-Trend-NEMwide-Wind

It seems like (if the AEMO ST PASA forecasts hold true) we might have a spell of higher aggregate wind production across a couple days, and notably in the evenings of Wednesday 29th May 2024 and Thursday 30th May 2024.

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About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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  1. Afternoon snapshot on Tuesday 28th May 2024 - WattClarity
  2. (Easily* the) highest aggregate wind production, thus far in May 2024 - WattClarity
  3. How predictable is the wind (a short Case Study of Thursday evening 30th May 2024)? - WattClarity

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