[2nd update] AEMO forecast for peak NSW demand this afternoon now would be new record

A quick update using the following NEM-Watch snapshot from 11:10 NEM time (so 12:10 in NSW):

2017-02-10-at-11-10-NEMwatch-NSWforecast

As annotated on the snapshot, the AEMO’s current run of predispatch forecasts (updated every half-an hour) show an increase on the demand forecast noted earlier today – with the current expectation being a new record Scheduled Demand up at 11,734MW for NSW at 16:30 NEM time (so 17:30 Sydney daylight savings time).

Note that around this time is when solar PV production peaks in the state and thereafter will decline (initially slowly, but then increasingly rapidly into the afternoon as noted here).  This is one reason why we’ll see peak Scheduled Demand later in the afternoon today.

It might be a new record (barring any load shedding – which no-one wants to see happen).


About the Author

Paul McArdle
One of three founders of Global-Roam back in 2000, Paul has been CEO of the company since that time. As an author on WattClarity, Paul's focus has been to help make the electricity market more understandable.

1 Comment on "[2nd update] AEMO forecast for peak NSW demand this afternoon now would be new record"

  1. As always there will be blame games, South Australia’s problems are home grown with renewable energy and poorly performing gas markets have taken their toll there.

    But all in all, it is just too darn hot and AEMO have a tough 3 days ahead. Good luck.

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