Miscellaneous articles about what we observe during Winter 2011
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Paul McArdle
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Paul McArdle Thu 26th June 2025
Cold weather drives electricity ‘Market Demand’ higher (and higher than AEMO’s earlier forecasts)
I thought it would be worth adding a couple snapshots from the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widget in ez2view looking at ‘Market Demand’ as at various dispatch intervals on Thursday 26th June 2025 looking backwards ~7 days and forwards ~7 days
Paul McArdle Fri 21st July 2006
Winter 2002 – Generator Market Power
From the start of the NEM through until 2001, the NEM was typified by a pricing dichotomy with sustained rock-bottom pricing in NSW, Snowy and Victoria and high and volatile pricing in the extremities (Queensland and South Australia).
In 2001, the QNI interconnection and many generation projects were developed. This led to the convergence of prices between all regions, and the disappearance of price volatility – circumstances that were a real threat to generator profitability.
In response, generators adopted an approach that came to be known as “the economic withholding of capacity” to engineer volatility into the market throughout winter 2002 – and hence higher prices as a result., and generator behaviour.
Paul McArdle Wed 29th June 2016
Exceptional pricing during Q2 in South Australia (but really across all regions) hurting major energy users
Some brief notes about a changed pricing pattern observed in Q2 2016
Paul McArdle Sat 4th July 2020
Saturday 4th July 2020 sees QLD spot prices crunched over long periods of the day, with solar booming
Some quick reflections on a day that saw spot prices in QLD down below $0/MWh for most of the period seeing strong daylight hours, hence strong injections from rooftop PV systems.
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