Actual LOR1 eventuates in NSW on Tue afternoon 17th Dec 2024

Paul noted at 15:20 NEM time this afternoon that prices in NSW and QLD had begun to climb, with relatively high demand being experienced in the former.

At the time of writing (16:50), I now note that prices in both regions have continued to fluctuate in a range between $300/MWh to $900/MWh for the past two hours. Market Demand in NSW has so far peaked at 12,550 MW – which occurred during the 16:00 dispatch interval.

Spot prices for the past 12 dispatch intervals (as at the 16:50 dispatch interval), and P5 price forecasts for the hour ahead in QLD (left) and NSW (right).

Source: ez2view’s Trading Prices widget

Since Paul’s last post, we’ve also seen Market Notice #122113 come in, notifying the market of an actual LOR condition in the NSW Region:

Notice ID               :     122113
Notice Type Description :     Reserve notice
Creation Date           :     17/12/2024     15:44:28

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

Actual Lack Of Reserve Level 1 (LOR1) in the NSW region - 17/12/2024

An Actual LOR1 condition has been declared under clause 4.8.4(b) of the National Electricity Rules for the NSW region from 1530 hrs.
The Actual LOR1 condition is forecast to exist until 1800 hrs

The capacity reserve requirement is 1340 MW
The minimum capacity reserve available is 1082 MW

Manager NEM Real Time Operations

About the Author

Dan Lee
Dan is a Market Analyst, who joined Global-Roam in June 2013. He departed (and returned) for a couple of brief stints overseas, before rejoining the team permanently in late 2019. Alongside his work at Global-Roam, he has undertaken short-term contract roles as an analyst and researcher in various areas of the energy sector. Dan graduated from the Master of Sustainable Energy program at the University of Queensland in 2024.

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