A collection of articles speaking to some core analytical challenges.
Others are categorised elsewhere – like my prior thoughts on three reasons why forecasting is a mug’s game.
About the Author
Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
Related Articles
Paul McArdle Fri 1st April 2022
A briefing on GenInsights21 for Smart Energy Council members
Next Tuesday 5th April 2022 the Smart Energy Council has organised us to provide a briefing on GenInsights21, and what we can learn from this to inform the energy transition.
Linton Corbet Tue 10th June 2025
Examples of self-forecasting behaviours – part 4 – avoiding SDC periods
Theoretically, if a self-forecasting system never offers forecasts for more than 60% of intervals it may perpetually skip the performance assessment and the system could continue for use unsuppressed.
Dan Lee Thu 22nd August 2024
What the last twenty years of the ESOO tells us about blackout predictions
After skimming through the last twenty editions of the ESOO over the past couple of days, Dan shares some thoughts about what has and hasn’t changed over the years.
Linton Corbet Tue 3rd June 2025
Examples of self-forecasting behaviours – part 1 – biasing
In today’s article (part 1 in this series) we present an example of biasing (at an unnamed solar farm), which we find aligns with FCAS cost mitigation.
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