For two remarkable winter evenings in 2007 (19th and 20th June specifically) NEM-Wide Instantaneous Reserve Plant Margin (IRPM) plunged to the lowest levels ever seen in the NEM (a mere 7.6%) as generators were caught short of capacity by a cold snap that hit earlier than expected, whilst plant was still out for maintenance and other plant still suffering from drought-inflicted limitations of capability.
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Paul McArdle
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Paul McArdle Tue 29th June 2010
Background to Winter 2010 in the NEM
Inspired by the price spike experienced this evening, I have spent a little time to put together the background to winters in the NEM.
This will be useful in understanding the context of any other events that occur this winter, and are analysed on WattClarity.
Paul McArdle Thu 16th March 2023
Actual LOR2, and a run of volatility in NSW and QLD … only 34 days till the closure of Liddell unit 4
Looks like we’ve (sort of) dodged the Reserve Trader bullet on Thursday evening 16th March 2023 … but still poses plenty of questions.
Paul McArdle Mon 7th June 2021
Discussion about electricity prices – following the Callide C4 Catastrophe
Discussion in a number of different places (including an AFR article today) prompted me to pull some data together of how (spot and futures) prices have trended through 2021, and how they changed with the Callide C4 problems.
Kim Lerchbacher Wed 21st April 2010
Price spikes in SA and VIC on 21st April
Just after midday today (Wednesday 21st April) South Australia and Victoria experienced some high spot prices. Here’s a quick post to highlight what happened.

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