New lowest-ever* point for NSW ‘Market Demand’ on Sunday 16th Feb 2025 was lower than AEMO’s earlier forecasts
Second article pertaining to the remarkably low level of 'Market Demand' in NSW on Sunday 16th February 2025.
All Posts
‘Lowest ever*’ point for ‘Market Demand’ in NSW crashes lower, on Sunday 16th February 2025
The bottom has dropped out of the 'record minimum demand' point for NSW on Sunday 16th February 2025.
NEM Mainland Frequency wandering (somewhat more than ‘normal’) on Thursday afternoon 13th February 2025
A quick note with snapshot taken at ~15:11 on Thursday 13th February 2025 looking back at the past 6 hours of NEM Mainland Frequency.
An initial walk through contributions in South Australia on Wednesday 12th February 2025 (i.e. Part 1)
If I had time, we'd explore three separate questions we have about what happened in South Australia on Wednesday 12th February 2025. In this article we take a...
Spare capacity in South Australia drops below 100MW on Wednesday evening 12th February 2025
A follow-on article focused on the 19:00 dispatch interval on Wednesday 12th February 2025 in South Australia (a very tight period for supply-demand balance).
‘Market Demand’ soars in South Australia on Wednesday evening 12th February 2025
Tuesday 12th February 2025 is seeing very high levels of 'Market Demand' into the evening in South Australia.
Whiplash abated … market oscillations stopped on Wednesday afternoon 12th February 2025
Following an earlier article (on Wednesday morning 12th February 2024) we note the end of oscillations related to the newly composed ‘N-BU_330_TX_ONE’ constraint set for an outage related...
A trend of daily peak SA ‘Market Demand’– from 1st January 2008 to 11th February 2025
With respect to forecasts for peak South Australian ‘Market Demand’ in summer 2024-25 (and particularly with expectations of high demand on Wed 12th Feb 2025) we've provided this...
Whiplash from yo-yo-ing prices (and hence targets etc) on Wednesday morning 12th February 2025
Wednesday morning 12th February 2024 sees rapid and large oscillations in prices across all regions - which results from (and/or leads to) oscillations in output of many units....
Evening volatility in South Australia, with high demand, on Tuesday 11th February 2025
With warnings that tomorrow could see high (higher!) demand in South Australia, we take a quick look at high demand experienced on Tuesday 11th February 2025.
Guest Authored Posts
An initial look at Winners and Losers from Frequency Performance Payments (FPP)
In his first guest authored article on WattClarity, Jack Fox reports some initial observations from a review of the Non Financial Obligation (NFO) data that's been published since
Hot chips, algorithms and electricity markets
Declan Kelly thinks through and discusses competition issues that could arise from the increasing proliferation of auto-bidding software by big batteries in the NEM - and suggests some...
Detailed Analysis
Digging further into ‘Aggregate Scheduled Target’, to understand what Dispatchable Capacity is actually required
In conjunction with the analysis done to complete GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q1 2023 (released today), here's 14 years of daily data of 'Aggregate Scheduled Target' that might...
GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q1 2023 released
A quick note on Wednesday 31st May 2023 to mark the release of GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q1 2023.
Case Study of 17:05 on 27th October 2022… Part 4: the geographical spread of +861MW AggROT
In the fourth instalment of this ongoing case study, Dan Lee maps the locations and contributions of the semi-scheduled units that contributed to the +861MW Aggregate Raw Off-Target...
Case Study of 17:05 on 27th October 2022 … part 3 … (+861MW AggROT – source of AvailGen)
In Part 3 of this Case Study, we look at the source of the Dispatch Interval Availability forecasts for these units at 17:05 on 27th October 2022 (i.e....
Why capacity factor is an increasingly simplistic way to compare solar farm performance
Dan Lee explains why capacity factor could be becoming an increasingly less useful measure for comparing how different solar farms are performing and begins an exploration into some...
Case Study of 17:05 on 27th October 2022 (+861MW AggROT for Semi-Scheduled units) … Part 1 of (an uncertain number)
In Part 1 of this Case Study, we start to look at the large collective under-performance across all Semi-Scheduled units (i.e. Wind and Large Solar) at 17:05 on...
Unavailability of coal units hits 24% across calendar 2022 (but they are *not* collectively tripping more often)
This second excerpt from GenInsights 2022 Q4 Update highlights some of what's seen in terms of the performance of coal units.
Weather! The cause of.. and solution to.. all the electricity market’s problems?
Dan Lee tracks the demand forecasts against the actual outcome in QLD last Friday afternoon. The final result was as much as ∼1,000MW lower than the maximum forecast...