Games that self-forecasters can* play (Part 1 – An Overview)
I've promised to write this article for some time, but a few recent events (and looming start of FPP) have caused me to publish this now.
All Posts
A quick walk through a few volatile evening periods
As they were occurring, we noted some instances of price volatility over several consecutive days earlier this month: On Monday 7th April 2025; On Tuesday 8th April 2025; On Wednesday 9th April 2025; On...
AEMO publishes draft ‘Congestion Information Resource Guidelines’ – submissions due 19th May 2025
On Tuesday 15th April 2025, the AEMO published its draft report on 'Congestion Information Resource Guidelines', seeking feedback by Monday 19th May 2025.
AEMO published its HLIA for the ISF Implementation … and seeking input on draft ‘Security Enablement Procedures’
As the next steps in implementing the AEMC's ISF Reforms, the AEMO has published: (a) on 7th April a consultation; and (b) on 17th April a HLIA.
AEMO commenced a consultation on the Constraint Formulation Guidelines
On Monday 7th April, the AEMO commenced a consultation on the Constraint Formulation Guidelines - which touches on three different changes that some of our readers will find of interest.
Drop in NEM Mainland Frequency appearing to coincide with trips at New England Solar Farm, on Saturday 19th April 2025
We take a quick look, after AEMO noted that at 13:51 (NEM time) the New England Solar Farm No.1 and No.2 both tripped.
AEMC draft determination, about ‘Allowing AEMO to accept cash as credit support’
A little over 2 weeks ago (on Thu 3rd April 2025) the AEMC made a draft determination on the rule change proposal by Delta Electricity to allow AEMO to accept cash as credit support.
Three units at Bayswater (temporarily) offline, on Tuesday 15th April 2025
It’s not the first time that it’s happened in the history of the NEM, but worth noting that we're (temporarily) down to 1 x Bayswater unit online at present on Tuesday 15th April 2025.
Mainland system frequency in the afternoon of April 10, 2025
At 16:01 on April 10, 2025, a system frequency dip was observed from the Global-Roam frequency logger.
Prices in QLD and NSW rise into the four digit mark on Thu 10th Apr 2025
Elevated prices struck QLD and NSW for the fourth night in a row - with spot prices climbing above the $1,000MWh mark briefly this afternoon.
Guest Authored Posts
Aligning business cases with the current, and future, reality
Following his presentation at the CEC's Wind Industry Forum, Jonathon Dyson shares lessons learned from helping developers and operators of wind projects in solidifying their business case.
Do we have enough gas to wait until nuclear comes along?
Tristan Edis of Green Energy Markets discusses the practicalities of the gap that must be filled by the gas sector under the nuclear power timeline proposed by the Federal Opposition.
Detailed Analysis
Down for the count: eight separate transmission tower failure incidents in less than five years
A map of where the eight separate transmission tower incidents have occurred over the past five years.
So long solo solar, and hi hybrids?
A summary of the key challenges facing standalone solar and wind farms over the past several years, along with discussion and thoughts about whether new rules surrounding hybrids systems will address these.
What the last twenty years of the ESOO tells us about blackout predictions
After skimming through the last twenty editions of the ESOO over the past couple of days, Dan shares some thoughts about what has and hasn't changed over the years.
A tale of two mega-projects: Project Energy Connect and Snowy 2.0 timelines (Part 2)
In the second half of this two-part case study we look at a timeline of the Snowy 2.0 project, and discuss the history of mega-projects in the NEM.
A tale of two mega-projects: Project Energy Connect and Snowy 2.0 timelines (Part 1)
A timeline of evolving expectations for the cost, benefits, and delivery dates for Project Energy Connect - following news of recent issues surrounding the project.
A running view of the recent wind drought
A view of cumulative total wind production in Q2, highlighting a lack of spatial resource diversity, and the future challenges for gas and long-duration storage.
Who’s who in the ESOO
A compiled list of development projects delayed or leaving the market in between the ESOO2023 and its update released two weeks ago. Along with some analysis of longer term trends with the development pipeline.
Regulation FCAS Costs in 2023
Following a presentation with the CEC, Linton shared some insights into FCAS Regulation costs for wind and solar units over last calendar year.