AEMO preliminary report on VIC region suspension (loss of SCADA) on 22nd April
Here’s where to find AEMO’s preliminary report on the loss of SCADA on 22nd April 2023 in Victoria that led to that region being suspended for more than 24 hours.
Market Operations
A second (still rushed) look at volatility in NSW very early on Monday 1st May 2023 … a possible snag with Liddell retirement from market data systems?
Taking a second look at the very early morning volatility in the NSW region on Monday 1st May 2023, we’ve used the ‘Constraint Dashboard’ widget in ez2view to get so far … and then added some *speculation* about how it might have been related to the retirement of Liddell from market systems. Is this accurate?
Case Study of Tuesday 16th February 2021 (Part 1) … large instance of collective over-performance for Semi-Scheduled units
Another short article today presenting an overview of Aggregate Raw Off-Target (AggROT) for Semi-Scheduled units on 16th February 2021 (the largest incidence of collective over-performance at that time).
Case Study of Tuesday 23rd August 2022 (Part 1) … large instance of collective over-performance for Semi-Scheduled units
Another short article today (from GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q3 2022) presenting an overview of Aggregate Raw Off-Target (AggROT) for Semi-Scheduled units on 23rd August 2022.
Case Study of Friday 20th January 2023 (Part 1) … large instance of collective over-performance for Semi-Scheduled units
Another short article today (also from GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q1 2023) presenting an overview of Aggregate Raw Off-Target (AggROT) for Semi-Scheduled units on Friday 20th January 2023.
Case Study of Friday 3rd February 2023 (Part 1) … two consecutive large instances of collective under-performance for Semi-Scheduled units
A short article today (whilst in the midst of finalising GenInsights Quarterly Update for Q1 2023) presenting an overview of Aggregate Raw Off-Target (AggROT) for Semi-Scheduled units on Friday 3rd February 2023.
Glitch with Victorian SCADA data triggers (>24 hour) Market Suspension in Victorian Region – Saturday 22nd April 2023
In an event (that seems) similar to 17th March 2023, a glitch in SCADA leads to the suspension of the market in the Victorian region on Saturday afternoon/evening 22nd April 2023.
Delving deeper into dispatch availability self-forecasting performance
We delve deeper into dispatch availability self-forecasts and the assessment process to further enhance our understanding of this important aspect, testing sensitivity to gate closure times and requirements on minimum intervals.
Case Study of 17:05 on 27th October 2022… Part 4: the geographical spread of +861MW AggROT
In the fourth instalment of this ongoing case study, Dan Lee maps the locations and contributions of the semi-scheduled units that contributed to the +861MW Aggregate Raw Off-Target that occurred on the afternoon of October 27th 2022.
AEMO published Preliminary Report into NSW brief market suspension on 17th March 2023
On 6th April 2023 the AEMO published this preliminary report into the brief market suspension that occurred in NSW on 17th March 2023.
AFR reports Callide C co-owner (with CS Energy) goes into voluntary administration
AFR and the Australian (and elsewhere?) there are reports of the co-owner of Callide C (with CS Energy) being placed in voluntary administration.
Brief (55 minute) Market Suspension on 17th March 2023 in NSW due to service interruption of SCADA systems
A just-announced AEMO market notice has declared a temporary suspension of the NSW market.
Case Study of 17:05 on 27th October 2022 … part 3 … (+861MW AggROT – source of AvailGen)
In Part 3 of this Case Study, we look at the source of the Dispatch Interval Availability forecasts for these units at 17:05 on 27th October 2022 (i.e. Self-Forecast or something else, incl AWEFS/ASEFS).
Case Study of 17:05 on 27th October 2022 … part 2 … (+861MW AggROT – individual units)
In Part 2 of this Case Study, we look at those 15 x Semi-Scheduled units highlighted with large deviations (mostly under-performance) at 17:05 on 27th October 2022 in order to understand more.
Case Study of 17:05 on 27th October 2022 (+861MW AggROT for Semi-Scheduled units) … Part 1 of (an uncertain number)
In Part 1 of this Case Study, we start to look at the large collective under-performance across all Semi-Scheduled units (i.e. Wind and Large Solar) at 17:05 on 27th October 2022. More to come in subsequent parts…
AER notice … ‘Market notice from the WEMDRA – Referral to dispute resolution panel’ … about scheduling error on 10th August 2022
A short note following on from the Scheduling Error experienced by AEMO on 10th August 2022.
The never-ending story? More delays in return-to-service at both Callide C3 and C4
A short article today noting the additional delays in return-to-service expectations for both Callide C3 and C4.
Weather! The cause of.. and solution to.. all the electricity market’s problems?
Dan Lee tracks the demand forecasts against the actual outcome in QLD last Friday afternoon. The final result was as much as ∼1,000MW lower than the maximum forecast of demand published by the AEMO, which alludes to the inherent difficulty of electricity market forecasting.
Demand shortfall dodges need for large demand side contributions, QLD, 3 Feburary 2023
The forecast for Friday (3 February 2023) evening’s demand was that a new all-time maximum would occur and a lack of reserve was expected. To maintain the grid in a reliable operating state AEMO signaled to the market that the…
QLD Market Demand for 17:30 lands at ‘only’ 9750MW (Fri 3rd Feb 2023)
(Not even) close … but no cigar. Actual level of Market Demand in QLD for 17:30 is about 10% below what the most extreme forecast thought it might be.