Final incident report on the power system incident of 13th February 2024 released
In July 2025 AEMO released the final report into the review of the major power system event of 13 February 2024.
Eventful Days
AEMO issue market notice regarding a ‘High Impact Outage’ in NSW this Sunday 20th July 2025
AEMO has flagged a 'High Impact Outage' on the Dapto–Kangaroo Valley line this Sunday, warning of reduced VIC–NSW transfer capacity.
Transgrid’s Project Assessment Conclusions Report for System Strength released on Monday 14th July 2025
Transgrid's Project Assessment Conclusions Report for System Strength assessed more than 100 individual solutions aimed at helping to meet its system strength obligations under the National Electricity Rules.
A look at forecasts for SA this Wednesday evening 9th July 2025, where forecast LOR2 conditions are appearing
A quick look at demand, wind and solar forecasts, along with the constraint invocation schedule in SA for this coming Wednesday, where the AEMO currently have an extended forecast LOR2 condition projected.
Volatile price period runs over 5 hours on 2 July 2025 in SA
If we had been in the previous financial year, the old CPT of $1,573,700 would have been tripped.
Evening spot prices less volatile than anticipated in SA on July 2, 2025
Spot price volatility occurs in SA on 2 July 2025, yet not to the level that risks exceeding the cumulative price threshold.
More than 40,000 customers without power in NSW on Wednesday 2nd July 2025 after wild weather overnight
Wild storms over night have impacted parts of the Ausgrid, Endeavour and Essential Energy distribution networks in NSW.
Keep an eye on the SA Cumulative Price this evening on Wednesday 2nd July 2025
After an extended burst of high prices last night, and a short burst this morning, the cumulative price in SA has moved closer to CPT territory.
NSW records highest winter demand in fifteen years, whilst high prices eventuate in SA on Tuesday evening 1st July 2025
Cold winter conditions in NSW have pushed market demand in the region above 13GW this evening. Meanwhile, high prices have stuck around in SA.
Triple C conditions (cold, calm and cloudy) across the NEM last Thursday evening 26th June 2025
Carl Daley examines the underlying conditions and outcomes that occurred last Thursday evening, the 26th of June.
East coast low brings challenging conditions for start of July in 2025
The weather forecasts are alerting to the formation of an East Coast Low this week. The low is expected to sit just off the eastern cost of Australia, adjacent New South Wales.
Evening volatility on Friday 27th June 2025
Another run of energy spot price volatility occurred on Friday 27th June 2025.
How low did it go? NEM-wide wind production in recent days
We've already noted the ‘New all-time record for NEM-wide wind, on Monday 23rd June 2025’. But how low did wind production drop, on Thursday 26th June 2025?
Past 3 hours of continuous volatility on Thursday evening 26th June 2025
Considering that it was 16:45 (NEM time) when volatility started it’s notable that we’re into our 4th hour of volatility now on Thursday evening 26th June 2025.
Evening volatility ongoing (Thursday 26th June 2025), with NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ above 31,000MW
A further update on the volatility and high demand seen on Thursday evening 26th June 2025.
Run of evening volatility starts early, on Thursday 26th June 2025
Here’s a NEMwatch snapshot at 16:50 (NEM time) on Thursday 26th June 2025 with the run of volatility in the southern regions already well underway.
Cold weather drives electricity ‘Market Demand’ higher (and higher than AEMO’s earlier forecasts)
I thought it would be worth adding a couple snapshots from the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widget in ez2view looking at ‘Market Demand’ as at various dispatch intervals on Thursday 26th June 2025 looking backwards ~7...
Morning volatility in the southern regions – Thursday 26th June 2025
Here’s a snapshot from NEMwatch at 07:25 to record some morning volatility on Thursday 26th June 2025
Opaque Congestion and Hidden Curtailment … such as on Tue 24th June 2024 with the ‘N-DPWG_63_X5’ constraint set invoked
It was now just over 5 years ago when Marcelle wrote ‘Not as simple as it appears – estimating curtailment of renewable generation’. This week's invocation of the 'N-DPWG_63_X5' constraint set provides a great...
Another look at conditions in South Australia next week as a forecast LOR3 now appears for Wednesday
An updated look at conditions in SA early next week, where a forecast LOR3 is now appearing for next Wednesday. We also look at the invocation schedule for constraint sets within the region.