Sky-high IRPM in the middle of the day, Sunday 1st October 2023
A short note (in conjunction with some analysis for GenInsights Quarterly Updates for 2023 Q4) about the high level of IRPM seen on Sunday 1st October 2023.
Eventful Days
Current AEMO forecasts point to higher NEM-wide demand on Sunday 4th February 2024
A short article on Fri 2nd Feb 2024 looking forward to what’s forecast for Sunday 4th Feb 2024.
Evening volatility in QLD and NSW on Monday 29th January 2024
A quick note about volatility in QLD and NSW on Monday evening 29th January 2024
AEMO briefly forecasts LOR3 (i.e. load shedding) in QLD on Thu 1st Feb 2024
An ST PASA data update on Monday morning 29th January 2024 forecasts LOR3 (i.e. load shedding) for Thursday morning 1st February 2024
Evening volatility in QLD and NSW on Sunday 28th January 2024
A short record of a burst of volatility in QLD and NSW on Sunday evening 28th January 2024.
QLD ‘Market Demand’ reaches 10,210MW on Sat 27th Jan 2024, and looks set to climb further
As Saturday evening (27th Jan 2024), at 17:45 QLD ‘Market Demand’ reaches 10,210MW … and volatility starts.
Forecast evening demand for QLD falling away for Thu 27th Jan 2024
An afternoon update (16:05) of the forecasts for QLD this evening, Sat 27th Jan 2024
AEMO updates – has contracted RERT and *may* dispatch, on Sat 27th Jan 2024
AEMO’s 2nd Market Notice (on Sat 27th Jan 2024) about possible dispatch of RERT (Reserve Trader) on Saturday 27th Jan 2024
A handy reminder from the BOM about why QLD is feeling so hot – on Saturday 27th January 2024
A timely reminder from the BOM of why ‘Apparent Temperature’ can be significantly higher than ‘Actual Temperature’ … such as across QLD on Saturday 27th Jan 2024 (and also Mon 22nd Jan 2024).
AEMO announces intention to commence RERT negotiations in QLD–on Saturday 27th January 2024
The AEMO has announced intention to negotiate for RERT (Reserve Trader) in a very hot QLD for possible dispatch later on Saturday 27th January 2024.
AEMO forecasts impressive evening demand in QLD on Saturday 27th Jan 2024 (middle of a 3-day weekend)
A late morning look at AEMO’s forecasts for Saturday evening 27th January 2024.
Evening burst of volatility in (QLD and) NSW on Friday 26th January 2024
A short article to record some evening volatility in NSW (and briefly QLD) on Friday 26th January 2024
AEMO’s forecasts for higher ‘Market Demand’ in NSW on Thursday evening 25th January 2024 don’t materialise
A quick look-back on the what was forecast, and what actually happened, for ‘Market Demand’ in NSW on Thursday 25th Jan 2024.
Putting Monday’s record-breaking demand in QLD into context (22nd Jan 2024)
Still trying to make sense of what did and didn’t happen in QLD last night, Dan Lee provides some context to how yesterday’s record-breaking demand compares to similar historical events.
Powering Up: Queensland’s Historic Leap in Energy Use
Geoff Eldridge of Global Power Energy publishes this summary of the demand records that were broken in QLD as the regoin sweltered through hot and humid conditions last night.
AEMO forecasts deep LOR2 in NSW on Thursday 25th January 2024
Whilst still recovering from Mon 22nd Jan 2024, this article takes a first look towards Thu 25th Jan 2024 (which could be a big one in NSW).
Supply side delivers to meet record demand in Queensland on 22nd Jan 2024
The supply side rose to meet the new peak demand level in QLD on 22nd Jan 2024.
QLD ‘Market Demand’ cracks 11,000MW … at 16:40 on Monday 22nd Jan 2024 (and continues to climb fast)
In the 16:40 dispatch interval (Monday 22nd January 2024) the ‘Market Demand’ in Queensland exceeded 11,000MW for the first time ever.
What’s running in QLD at 16:35 on Monday 22nd January 2024 … will there be load shedding as solar rolls off?
Given the afternoon’s receding (and so is the massive amount of solar production seen today) here’s a quick look at what else is running, and could possibly ramp up to replace the solar and help to avoid load shedding.
Market demand actuals landing far above forecasts, as market demand continues to blast prior record out of the water, on Monday 22nd of January 2024
As QLD’s market demand record has already been smashed this afternoon, we’re keeping a close eye on P5 and P30 forecasts, where actuals are landing significantly above all prior forecasts.