A first look at ‘Market Demand’ in South Australia on Saturday 6th January 2024
A quick look back at Saturday 6th January 2024 in South Australia – and the case of an unforecast drop in ‘Market Demand’
A quick look back at Saturday 6th January 2024 in South Australia – and the case of an unforecast drop in ‘Market Demand’
Guest author Allan O’Neil continues our series of posts on very low system demand levels in South Australia and Victoria on New Year’s Eve, with a few unresolved questions remaining
Part 4 in a series today, about what happened in Victoria with minimum demand and warnings of possible intervention to *increase* demand.
Fourth article today, taking a quick look at neighbouring South Australia – which has also seen a new ‘lowest ever’ level of Market Demand.
Third article today, focusing on an apparent anomaly between AEMO’s P30 and P5 predispatch forecasts for Victorian demand today (Sun 31st Dec 2023).
A second article today on this challenging day for the Victorian grid, looking at which supply sources are running.
First article today, recording a new ‘lowest ever’ point for demand in Victoria (Sun 31st Dec 2023), and possible intervention from AEMO has it looks to drop further, leading to possible grid instability.
A short initial note about AEMO’s currently forecast LOR2 for NSW next Tuesday 19th December 2023.
It’s Friday morning and AEMO has just published a Market Notice to alert the market that RERT was contracted for yesterday evening in NSW (Thu 14th Dec 2023).
A quick look at how restrictions in southern NSW meant that Victoria could not export to NSW through the afternoon … hence contributing to the tight supply-demand situation.
One factor contributing to the tight supply-demand balance is the decline in wind production (and capability) inverse to the rise in ‘Market Demand’.
‘Market Demand’ has ramped back up, leading to an ‘Actual LOR2’ low reserve condition in NSW on Thu 14th Dec 2023
NSW ‘Market Demand’ exceeds 13,000MW for the first time today (Thu 14th Dec 2023)
Getting closer to the time of forecast peak in demand, the forecast LOR2 is revised downwards.
A strange coincidence with the AEMO ‘intending to commence’ negotiations about Reserve Trader for NSW – for this afternoon/evening.
A short post to note that the AEMO have published a market notice stating an intention to commence RERT negotiations in NSW.
A quick update into Thursday afternoon with forecast for this evening, Thu 14th Dec 2023 in NSW
A quick look at Semi-Scheduled Wind UIGF forecasts for this evening, where tight supply-demand is expected in NSW.
A late morning update on forecast conditions for NSW this evening, Thu 14th Dec 2023
An updated view of the forecast for a tight supply-demand balance for tomorrow (Thu 14th Dec 2023) in NSW.