Updated long-term trend of Victorian minimum demand
With forecasts for low demand tomorrow (Sat 28th Sept 2024) in VIC during the middle of the day, we take a quick look at how forecasts compare to prior low points.
Victoria
Low, getting lower … AEMO’s forecasts for ‘Market Demand’ on Saturday 28th September 2024
A quick update (early Friday 27th September 2024) looking at AEMO’s successive forecasts for ‘Market Demand’ in Victoria for Saturday 28th September 2024 (timed for just prior to center bounce for AFL GF, and following from earlier ‘Minimum System Load’ advisory).
AEMO issues (its 3rd ever) ‘Minimum System Load’ alert for Victoria … for Friday 27th September 2024
Two days in a row, the AEMO has issued its first and second alerts (via Market Notice) about forecast Minimum System Load events for Victoria. This second alert for Friday 27th September 2024.
AEMO issues the (second ever) ‘Minimum System Load’ Market Notice for Victoria on Sat 28th Sept 2024 (AFL Grand Final Day)
The AEMO has issued its (second* ever) ‘Minimum System Load’ alert, via Market Notice 118421, with respect to Victoria for this Saturday 28th September 2024.
AEMO extends ‘Severe Weather’ warning from TAS into SA and VIC
Overnight into Monday 2nd September 2024, the AEMO has extended its Severe Weather warning into SA, and then into VIC.
Cumulative Price in VIC drops negative (but *not* the first time ever!) on Thursday 29th August 2024
On Thursday 29th August 2024 the Cumulative Price in Victoria dropped below $0/MWh … but Dan Lee noted not for the first time ever in any region.
Morning burst of volatility across the NEM on Monday 5th August 2024
A quick summary of some morning volatility (particularly SA, VIC and SA) on Monday morning 5th August 2024.
Focusing on VIC exports (and imports) with the ‘Major Power System Event’ on Tuesday 13th February 2024
In this article we look again at Tuesday 13th February 2024 (Victoria’s ‘Major Power System Event’) and sum up the impact of the event on net exports from Victoria over a 14-hour period, but particularly around ~13:08 when the towers were downed.
Spot price volatility in South Australia on Monday 11th March 2024
A short record of the start of some price volatility in South Australia on Monday 11th March 2024.
Elevated prices (and demand) in VIC and SA on Sunday evening 10th March 2024
A short record of evening volatility in VIC and SA during the heatwave on Sunday 10th March 2024.
Elevated demand in SA and VIC on Saturday 9th March 2024
A short note to record some slightly elevated demand in VIC and SA on Sat 9th March 2024 over a hot long weekend.
CFA warns of ‘Catastrophic and extreme fire danger’ for parts of Victoria tomorrow (Wed 28th Feb 2024)
A short note looking at CFA warnings of ‘Extreme Bushfire Risk’ for locations in Victoria on Wednesday 28th February 2024.
Yesterday’s Record-Breaking Native Demand for Australia’s NEM and Victoria (22nd Feb 2024)
Geoff Eldridge provides a list of some the key records that were broken in the NEM yesterday, thanks particularly to high demand coming from Victoria.
It appears bushfire smoke was negatively impacting rooftop PV production in a material way in Victoria yesterday
Some interesting data coming from our forecast convergence widget yesterday afternoon, hinted to us that bushfire smoke is likely to have been impacting rooftop PV generation levels in Victoria.
Fires linger in Victoria, Tasmania as heat shifts to NSW
Ben Domensino of WeatherZone provides an update on the bushfire danger in Victoria and Tasmania, whilst temperature forecasts are projected to be elevated in northern NSW.
Victorian ‘Market Demand’ above 9,000MW on Thursday 22nd February 2024 … for the first time since 31st January 2020
Victorian ‘Market Demand’ today (9,260MW at 15:40) is the highest we’ve seen since 31st January 2020 … just over 4 years ago.
Afternoon spot price volatility on a hot day in VIC and TAS … and bushfire limitations
A hot afternoon in VIC and TAS, with bushfires in both states, is driving volatility on Thursday 22nd February 2024
Weathering the Storm: Victoria’s Record-Breaking Energy Day
Perhaps unrealised by many, but Tuesday afternoon’s events in Victoria resulted in a new record low in terms of number of coal units being online in the region, Geoff Eldridge explores.
Out with a bang or a whimper? And a puzzle or two.
Guest author Allan O’Neil continues our series of posts on very low system demand levels in South Australia and Victoria on New Year’s Eve, with a few unresolved questions remaining
Recapping the accelerating decline in ‘Minimum Demand’ levels across the NEM, at the end of 2023
A tabular summary of how ‘declining demand’ has been an accelerating theme in most regions of the NEM (and NEM-wide) through 2023.