Forecast LOR2 for the QLD region on Tuesday 8th October 2024
Prompted by AEMO MN118628 here’s a forward looking view of forecast tight supply-demand balance for QLD on Tuesday evening 8th October 2024.
QLD
Queensland ‘Market Demand’ drops below 3,000MW (for the first time in over 20 years), on Sunday 18th August 2024
Sunday 18th August 2024 sees Queensland reach a new ‘lowest’ point for ‘Market Demand’ … not quite 8 months after it saw a ‘highest ever’ point for ‘Market Demand’. Stretched at both ends, and a clear indication of the challenges of this energy transition.
Morning burst of volatility across the NEM on Monday 5th August 2024
A quick summary of some morning volatility (particularly SA, VIC and SA) on Monday morning 5th August 2024.
How rare are simultaneous price spikes in all five NEM regions, like what we saw last night?
A short examination of some of the over-arching factors at play yesterday evening – where prices spiked above $3,000/MWh in all five regions simultaneously.
Rare NEM-wide price spikes on Monday July 29th 2024
Already this evening we’ve seen a rare occurrence of price spikes in all five NEM regions simultaneously.
A bounce back: a review of Q2 2024 prices
We just witnessed another eventful Q2, with at least four drivers contributing to significant price volatility. This is our annual review of Q2 prices, where we compare these outcomes against the long-term trend.
Market Notice 116985, QLD power system security intervention possible
A brief note to record that at 5:29:34 PM today AEMO have published Market Notice 116985 announcing a possible intervention to maintain power system security for the QLD region. Market notices of this form are now very familiar in recent…
Summer reflections
Guest author, Carl Daley from EnergyByte, provides this summary of summer 2024 – covering price volatility, consolidation of the twin peaks dynamic, and BESS performance.
Recapping aggregate solar yield in Queensland’s ‘wet week’ prior to Easter 2024
A quick look back at the period before easter 2024, which was forecast to be a wet week in QLD … looking particularly at solar yield.
The forecast LOR2 for NSW on Thursday 29th February 2024 grows more extreme…
AEMO updated forecasts for LOR2 in NSW (and now QLD) for Thursday 29th Feb 2024 are now more severe than the earlier forecasts.
Volatility in QLD and NSW on Monday 26th February 2024
A short record of evening volatility in Queensland and NSW on Monday 26th February 2024.
‘Market Demand’ in QLD over 10,000MW … but cooler in NSW
A short article with demand in QLD above 10,000MW
Demand climbing in NSW and QLD on Friday afternoon 23rd February 2024
Demand is climbing in both NSW and QLD regions on Friday afternoon 23rd February, off the back of hot weather.
AEMO briefly forecasts LOR3 (i.e. load shedding) in QLD on Thu 1st Feb 2024
An ST PASA data update on Monday morning 29th January 2024 forecasts LOR3 (i.e. load shedding) for Thursday morning 1st February 2024
Evening volatility in QLD and NSW on Sunday 28th January 2024
A short record of a burst of volatility in QLD and NSW on Sunday evening 28th January 2024.
QLD ‘Market Demand’ reaches 10,210MW on Sat 27th Jan 2024, and looks set to climb further
As Saturday evening (27th Jan 2024), at 17:45 QLD ‘Market Demand’ reaches 10,210MW … and volatility starts.
Forecast evening demand for QLD falling away for Thu 27th Jan 2024
An afternoon update (16:05) of the forecasts for QLD this evening, Sat 27th Jan 2024
AEMO updates – has contracted RERT and *may* dispatch, on Sat 27th Jan 2024
AEMO’s 2nd Market Notice (on Sat 27th Jan 2024) about possible dispatch of RERT (Reserve Trader) on Saturday 27th Jan 2024
A handy reminder from the BOM about why QLD is feeling so hot – on Saturday 27th January 2024
A timely reminder from the BOM of why ‘Apparent Temperature’ can be significantly higher than ‘Actual Temperature’ … such as across QLD on Saturday 27th Jan 2024 (and also Mon 22nd Jan 2024).
AEMO announces intention to commence RERT negotiations in QLD–on Saturday 27th January 2024
The AEMO has announced intention to negotiate for RERT (Reserve Trader) in a very hot QLD for possible dispatch later on Saturday 27th January 2024.