AEMO (also) forecasts LOR2 for QLD on Monday 16th June 2025
Earlier this morning we noted AEMO forecasting possible LOR2 for QLD on Tuesday 17th June 2025 (in the middle of the day!). Well, at 11:52 on Friday 13th June 2025 they also added a...
Earlier this morning we noted AEMO forecasting possible LOR2 for QLD on Tuesday 17th June 2025 (in the middle of the day!). Well, at 11:52 on Friday 13th June 2025 they also added a...
On Friday morning 13th June 2025 the AEMO forecasts possible LOR2 in Queensland for Tuesday 17th June 2025 ... in the middle of the day!
Yesterday (Tuesday 10th June 2025) at 14:21 the AEMO published MN127491 that noted 'The increase in USE in Queensland ... is primarily driven by network outages scheduled between 17 and 20 June 2025'.
Dan shares a short time-lapse video which demonstrates four days worth of activity in the NEM, highlighting the impact of network congestion in QLD and NSW.
In this article we take an initial look at bidding across some instances of price volatility from Monday 7th April 2025 to Friday 11th April 2025.
Elevated prices struck QLD and NSW for the fourth night in a row - with spot prices climbing above the $1,000MWh mark briefly this afternoon.
A string of SMS alarms alerts us to another burst of high prices in the two northern regions, early this evening
We’ve checked with NEMwatch in this snapshot for the 18:35 dispatch interval (NEM time) on Friday 24th January 2025 and we see that the ‘Market Demand’ reached 10,897MW (target for the 17:45 dispatch interval).
Contemplating the end of the day, and looming sunset, a quick look at NEMwatch at 16:45 NEM time to see the ‘Market Demand’ at 10,543MW and climbing.
Whilst we're waiting to see where 'Market Demand' lands for Friday 24th January 2025 (we might report that later), I was curious in terms of supply-side performance of units over the past 4 days...
An updated view (via ‘Forecast Convergence’ in ez2view) for forecast demand for QLD on Friday afternoon/evening 24th January 2025 ... and reintroduction for 'forecast LOR2'.
Here's a 3-day trend chart from ez2view to look at the trended half-hourly* fuel mix in the Queensland region including Wednesday 22nd January 2025.
Dan shares an updated look at our forecast convergence widget for this coming Friday afternoon, in light of the record breaking demand in the region earlier this evening.
Worth a short note to highlight that the AEMO published MN123598 at 19:44 to flag cancellation of 'Actual LOR2' in QLD.
So only seconds after(?) we’ve posted this third article, the AEMO publishes MN123594 at 18:43:09 noting 'Actual LOR2' in QLD on Wed 22nd Jan 2025.
Following from QLD's new all-time-maximum level of 'Market Demand' we take a quick look at actual levels, compared to AEMO's earlier (P30 predispatch) forecasts.
A first quick article (with a NEMwatch snapshot at 17:55) noting the new all-time-maximum level of 'Market Demand' in QLD on Wednesday afternoon/evening 22nd January 2025.
An ez2view snapshot on Wednesday afternoon 22nd January 2025 with an illustration of the ‘Q-BCCP_812’ constraint set.
AEMO STPASA forecasts for QLD 'Market Demand' on Thursday 24th January 2025 is that it might be a new all-time record. Earlier STPASA forecasts suggested it would be above the (prior) all-time record from...
We noted as it happened (e.g. hard to ignore a steady run of SMS alerts) , but only belatedly publish this record of evening volatility on Thursday evening 12th December 2024.