AEMO contracts Reserve Trader (in QLD, on Fri 3rd Feb 2023), but trigger not yet pulled
AEMO starts the Reserve Trader process for the QLD region this evening (Fri 3rd Feb 2023).
QLD
Quick Friday morning look-ahead to Friday evening in QLD
A quick article for Friday (3rd Feb 2023) morning, looking ahead to this evening and what AEMO’s current forecasts are saying for this evening.
Forecasts pointing to record demand and other risks in QLD for Friday afternoon.. but caveats aplenty
Our fourth article looking forward to this Friday afternoon (3rd February 2023) in the Queensland region, where successive AEMO STPASA forecast data is showing considerable variability about what peak demand might be for the QLD region (it *might*, if predictions turn into reality, smash the prior all-time record). Dan Lee looks into how the demand forecast has been evolving and what to watch for this Friday afternoon.
Tuesday afternoon look at the (escalating) forecast for Friday 3rd February 2022 … but later the forecast LOR2 was cancelled, and then reinstated
Second article (on Tuesday 31st Jan 2023) looking forward towards a tight supply-demand balance forecast for the QLD region on Friday evening 3rd February 2023.
Forecast LOR2 (and new record demand) for QLD region on Friday 3rd February
Second article this week about a forecast LOR2 Low Reserve Condition that has arisen for QLD this Friday 3rd February (coincident with what would be a new all-time record for peak demand).
Might see more price volatility this week … at least in QLD?
With Brisbane feeling more like a ‘normal’ summer in recent days, we took a look at the demand forecast for the coming week.
Quick initial notes about price spike at 17:30 on Friday 28th October 2022
A quick look at a brief price spike in NSW and QLD on Friday evening 28th October – which appears to be related to a Ravine -Yass(2) 330kV line outage.
‘Minimum Demand’ records pushed lower in QLD on Sunday 11th September 2022 … re ‘Emergency backstop mechanism’
‘Minimum Demand’ for the QLD region (in recent years and excluding 25th May 2021) drops lower still on Sunday 11th September 2022.
QLD minimum demand drops lower still on Sunday 14th August 2022
A short note on Sunday 14th August 2022 with electricity demand in QLD hitting new low points.
New lowest point for QLD ‘Market Demand’ on Sunday 7th August … excluding outages
QLD ‘Market Demand’ is dropping past prior low point (excluding 25th May 2021 with the loss of load).
RERT dispatched in QLD – at 17:00 on Tuesday 5th July 2022
RERT (Reserve Trader) dispatched in QLD.
RERT may be triggered this evening – Tuesday 5th July 2022?
This morning (Tue 5th july 2022) AEMO announces it may see the need to trigger Reserve Trader this evening.
Actual LOR1 and $15,500/MWh in the QLD region on a cold/dreary Monday evening 4th July 2022
A quick article Monday evening about volatility in QLD.
Cloud cover and cold temperatures spark high prices in QLD on Monday morning 4th July 2022
A quick look into today’s high prices in QLD, and some of the contributing factors.
RERT dispatched in QLD – at 18:00 on Wednesday 15th June 2022
RERT (Reserve Trader) dispatched in QLD.
RERT (Reserve Trader) in QLD and NSW on Tuesday 14th June 2022
A quick article about reserve trader for Tuesday 14th June 2022.
11am forecasts for LOR3 (load shedding) across the NEM for Tuesday 14th June 2022
A first look today at what’s forecast for load shedding this evening (some very large numbers for both QLD and NSW).
AEMO cancels forecast load shedding (LOR3) in the QLD region for this evening
Small celebration!
Forecast LOR3 (load shedding) now spans NSW for Monday evening, 13th June … and QLD tomorrow (morning/evening) as well
The outlook continues to get worse and worse… forecast load shedding extended to NSW this evening and into QLD tomorrow as well.
AEMO’s updated forecast for load shedding this evening is up to 1,454MW (i.e. about the size of Brisbane)
AEMO’s updated forecast for load shedding in QLD this evening is for an enormous amount (1,454MW)