Guest Author








Who killed FCAS?

Alex Leemon looks at how FCAS bidding and enablement volumes have shifted over the past decade — drawing on New South Wales data — to unpack what’s been driving the post-2023 collapse in FCAS prices.



Coal is adjusting but the market isn’t waiting

David Leitch reflects on how coal generators have adapted to a changing NEM, drawing on time-of-day profiles, and data from our GSD, and explains why — despite that flexibility — the underlying economics are becoming increasingly fragile as batteries reshape the evening peak.


Cutting through the noise

In this guest-authored article by Endgame Economics, Oliver Nunn examines growing 'noise' in NEM spot prices — how increasingly frequent oscillations appear to have a structural, intraday pattern, what may be driving it, and why it matters for market behaviour and battery investment outcomes.



Semi-dispatch caps are loading the deviation dice

Following a growing number of articles on WattClarity about “VRE under-performance dragging frequency down”, guest author Allan O'Neil takes a look at how the one sided nature of the SDC plays a role - and suggests a possible action that would help.


Stress-testing the NEM

This article by Endgame Analytics explains why average or median forecasts are becoming increasingly inadequate, using multi-year weather and supply stress testing to expose the true distribution of outcomes, risks, and reliability challenges in a high-renewables power system.


Eternal sunshine: Recent and projected patterns in solar performance

This analysis from Endgame Analytics highlights how solar revenues are increasingly concentrated in winter and shoulder periods as daytime prices collapse. Using historical data and forward modelling, it examines what the deepening duck curve means for solar returns, risk, and the need for seasonal storage.


Data centres and the new energy reality

Mitch O'Neill examines how data centres have rapidly replaced hydrogen in planning models as the dominant new source of electricity demand, and what their power density and locational constraints may mean for the grid.



Runway cost allocation – ready for liftoff?

Allan O'Neil unpacks a proposal under consideration by the AEMC to apply “runway” cost allocation to contingency FCAS, explaining how this could materially change who pays for frequency security in the NEM.