Eraring Unit 3 offline for planned outage … but no more outages planned for Eraring through to 2027 (yet?)
With Eraring unit 3 coming offline on Sunday 25th August 2024 (not long after Eraring unit 1 returned to service) I’ve had a quick look.
Forecast Convergence
How predictable is the wind (a short Case Study of Thursday evening 30th May 2024)?
An (initial and) short review of the solid block of high aggregate wind yield over the ~3 day date range (late Tuesday 28th May 2024 to late Friday 31st May 2024) … and how much this was expected in advance.
Saturday morning wrap of forecast LOR conditions in NSW
Following numerous Market Notices overnight pertaining to Forecast LOR2 (or LOR1) in NSW for a number of coming days, here’s a summary on Saturday morning 18th May 2024 using ‘Forecast Convergence’ from ez2view.
Antony Stace’s question about the step change (down) in QLD demand forecasts in AEMO MT PASA runs during February 2024
A question this morning by Antony Stace (on LinkedIn) about AEMO’s demand forecasts for QLD prompts some further context here in this WattClarity article, with quick use of ez2view.
Still a forecast LOR2 for NSW on Thursday 29th February 2024, but not as severe as earlier forecasts
AEMO current forecasts (at early afternoon Wed 28th Feb) still show a tight supply-demand balance in NSW for Thu 29th Feb afternoon/evening, but not as severe.
Stubborn forecasts for LOR2 (low reserve condition) for NSW for Thursday evening 29th February 2024
A Tuesday morning article, looking ahead to forecasts of LOR2 (tight supply-demand balance) for NSW on Thursday evening 29th February 2024
Thursday 29th February 2024 could be a (relatively) high demand day in NSW
A quick look forward (from Sun 25th Feb) towards Thursday 29th Feb 2024 in NSW
It appears bushfire smoke was negatively impacting rooftop PV production in a material way in Victoria yesterday
Some interesting data coming from our forecast convergence widget yesterday afternoon, hinted to us that bushfire smoke is likely to have been impacting rooftop PV generation levels in Victoria.
VIC Demand Running above Forecasts on 22nd February 2024
A brief chart to capture VIC demand climbing above expectations.
Forecast evening demand for QLD falling away for Thu 27th Jan 2024
An afternoon update (16:05) of the forecasts for QLD this evening, Sat 27th Jan 2024
As at 07:35 – P30 for ‘Market Demand’ in QLD for Monday 22nd Jan 2024 still forecast a new all-time maximum
A quick update (from 07:35 Mon 22nd Jan 2024) of forecast demand conditions for this evening in QLD.
Looking forward, to Monday 22nd January 2024 in Queensland
A quick look (Friday morning 19th January) towards Monday evening 22nd January 2024 in Queensland.
What’s been happening at Stanwell unit 1 since September 2023? (Part 1)
Today we take a look back at the operation of Stanwell unit 1 over the past 3 years … but particularly since its return from a Major Outage in September 2023
A first look at ‘Market Demand’ in South Australia on Saturday 6th January 2024
A quick look back at Saturday 6th January 2024 in South Australia – and the case of an unforecast drop in ‘Market Demand’
Part 3 … Victorian demand holding up at higher levels than successive AEMO forecasts
Third article today, focusing on an apparent anomaly between AEMO’s P30 and P5 predispatch forecasts for Victorian demand today (Sun 31st Dec 2023).
AEMO forecasts that tomorrow’s demand in QLD (i.e. Fri 29th Dec 2023) will be higher than today
Second short article on Thursday evening 28th December 2023, looking forward to Friday evening 29th December 2023.
Demand forecast moderating for NSW for Thursday evening, 14th December 2023
A late morning update on forecast conditions for NSW this evening, Thu 14th Dec 2023
Over four hours of volatility in the SA region on Friday evening 11th August 2023
Some quick notes about volatility in SA on Friday evening 11th August 2023.
Price volatility in SA on August 1, 2023
Light winds and a constrained interconnector contributed to elevated prices on 1 August 2023.
Four coal unit outages in the past 24 hours
It does not happen often, so when receiving 4 different ‘coal unit off’ alerts within 24 hours, we thought we would take a look …