[Post 2] Demand climbs and smelter readies to close AGAIN
Unwanted demand response in NSW approaches, for the 2nd day in a row with scorching temperatures driving demand higher.
Articles by Paul McArdle
One of three founders of Global-Roam back in 2000, Paul has been CEO of the company since that time.
As an author on WattClarity, Paul's focus has been to help make the electricity market more understandable.
[Post 1] Not out of the woods yet in NSW on a super-hot Saturday
First (and perhaps only?) post on a super-hot Saturday in NSW
[4th update] NSW drops under 1,000MW spare capacity
4th update on this white-knuckle day.
[Update 3] NSW Scheduled Demand up past 13,500MW and Reserve Margin drops
Another update, as NSW demand shoots up towards a new all-time record
[2nd update] AEMO forecast for peak NSW demand this afternoon now would be new record
2nd quick note in advance of today’s expected new record demand in NSW (and hopefully not load shedding)
Early Friday 10th February – forecasts for near-record electricity demand and load shedding in NSW
A quick look into an anticipated stinker of a day in NSW today
AEMO’s successive forecasts for NSW tomorrow paint a progressively WORSE picture
Here’s an update on the situation in NSW
AEMO forecasts LOR3 (load shedding) in NSW tomorrow–Friday 10th February
… whilst on the topic of load shedding, here’s a warning for NSW on Friday afternoon.
Load Shedding occurs in South Australia in heatwave conditions
Deja-vu all over again in South Australia this evening, with load shedding invoked due to climbing (hot-weather fuelled) demand, and insufficient local generation supplies.
A more forensic look at Queensland Price Volatility on Saturday 14th January 2017
An animated walk through 19 hours of Saturday 14th January 2017 in the Queensland region of the National Electricity Market – a day we dubbed “sizzling Saturday” not least because of extreme price volatility
One example of how price spikes in the physical market flow through to the financial market
Illustrating how the price spike on 14th January flowed through to hedge contract prices.
Illustrating how the currently installed rooftop solar PV has reduced peak demand – but more won’t reduce it more**
Looking at 13th, 14th and 15th January and the contribution of solar PV to peak demand reduction
Queensland demand today exceeds the previous all-time record
The Queensland region experienced a new all-time record for electricity demand today, along with some very hot weahter
[UPDATED] NEM-wide demand screams past 34,000MW today
NEM-wide demand roared to life today, for the first time this summer, with hot weather pretty much everywhere.
QLD’s Cumulative Price over half way to the Cumulative Price Threshold after a “sizzling Saturday”
Volatility in Queensland on a sizzling Saturday drives the Cumulative Price more than half-way to the Cumulative Price Threshold (where price caps would be imposed).
… meanwhile, down at Loy Yang A…
A few quick notes about this week’s developments at Loy Yang A power station
Queensland demand peaks even higher on Friday – and Reserve Plant Margin is tight
Queensland Scheduled Demand on Friday 13th January peaked even higher than on Thursday 12th January, and only 70MW below the all-time record
Queensland electricity demand surpasses 9000MW in heatwave
Hot weather drives Queensland demand higher than 9,000MW for the first time this summer – even with many people still out on holidays…
Hot weather in NSW drives demand higher
Demand rose in NSW today off the back of some hot weather
Victorian “Scheduled Demand” plunges to its lowest ever* level – early on Monday 2nd January
Victoria saw what seems to be the lowest ever* level of electricity demand early on Monday 2nd January 2017