AEMO forecasting an LOR2 condition for SA tomorrow evening September 10th, 2024
A quick look at our forecast convergence widget, with the AEMO currently forecasting an LOR2 in SA tomorrow evening.
Articles by Dan Lee
Dan is a Market Analyst, who joined Global-Roam in June 2013.
He departed (and returned) for a couple of brief stints overseas, before rejoining the team permanently in late 2019. Alongside his work at Global-Roam, he has undertaken short-term contract roles as an analyst and researcher in various areas of the energy sector. Dan graduated from the Master of Sustainable Energy program at the University of Queensland in 2024.
AEMO ends ‘East Coast Gas System Risk or Threat Notice’
This morning the AEMO revoked its gas supply warning notice that was issued in mid-June.
What the last twenty years of the ESOO tells us about blackout predictions
After skimming through the last twenty editions of the ESOO over the past couple of days, Dan shares some thoughts about what has and hasn't changed over the years.
How rare are simultaneous price spikes in all five NEM regions, like what we saw last night?
A short examination of some of the over-arching factors at play yesterday evening - where prices spiked above $3,000/MWh in all five regions simultaneously.
Rare NEM-wide price spikes on Monday July 29th 2024
Already this evening we’ve seen a rare occurrence of price spikes in all five NEM regions simultaneously.
Bout of high prices in SA on Sunday evening July 28th 2024
The South Australian region is seeing a run of high prices, starting just after 6pm this evening.
A tale of two mega-projects: Project Energy Connect and Snowy 2.0 timelines (Part 2)
In the second half of this two-part case study we look at a timeline of the Snowy 2.0 project, and discuss the history of mega-projects in the NEM.
A tale of two mega-projects: Project Energy Connect and Snowy 2.0 timelines (Part 1)
A timeline of evolving expectations for the cost, benefits, and delivery dates for Project Energy Connect - following news of recent issues surrounding the project.
Barron Gorge Power Station returns to service approximately six months after significant damage from Cyclone Jasper
CleanCo have announced the RTS of Barron Gorge Unit 1 and 2 after a ~6 month outage following significant damage from Cyclone Jasper.
A bounce back: a review of Q2 2024 prices
We just witnessed another eventful Q2, with at least four drivers contributing to significant price volatility. This is our annual review of Q2 prices, where we compare these outcomes against the long-term trend.
ABC report that the highest air pressure ever recorded in Australia was observed this morning, and likely to peak again this Saturday
The ABC report that a notable weather record was broken in Tasmania this morning, and opens questions about future wind lulls and a changing climate.
A running view of the recent wind drought
A view of cumulative total wind production in Q2, highlighting a lack of spatial resource diversity, and the future challenges for gas and long-duration storage.
Callide C4 return to service pushed back 3 weeks, now slated for late July 2024
A glance at our generator outages widget shows a further three week delay to the expected RTS of Callide Unit C4.
A look at where the wind has and hasn’t been blowing over the last three nights
A look into the geographic spread and diversity of wind production over the past three evenings, where we've seen supply-demand tightness across the NEM.
Cold temperatures and low wind push NEM-wide IRPM down to 11.76% on Monday 17th June 2024
This evening we are experiencing a tight supply-demand balance NEM-wide, stemming from cold temperatures, and low wind conditions across the southern states.
Who’s who in the ESOO Part 2
Part 2 of this analysis into the latest update of the ESOO, its modelling, and the project development pipeline.
Who’s who in the ESOO
A compiled list of development projects delayed or leaving the market in between the ESOO2023 and its update released two weeks ago. Along with some analysis of longer term trends with the development pipeline.
Looking closer at curtailment across wind farms in NSW last Wednesday 8th May 2024
A deeper dive into the geographic spread of wind farm generation and curtailment last Wednesday evening including a look into wind conditions and network topology.
NSW price volatility continues into Wednesday afternoon 8th May 2024
Price volatility has continued in NSW this afternoon, starting at around 3:40pm local time.
Keeping up with the curtailment Part 2: The what and the where
Dan Lee takes a deeper dive into network and economic curtailment, and shares some charts and data maps that demonstrate seasonal effects, and the geographic spread of units affected.