2026 Q2 contract prices jump further … especially in NSW

On Thursday last week (5th March 2026) we wrote that ‘War in the Middle East already (appears to be) flowing through to Q2 contract prices’.

Checking those same ‘Trends Engine’ charts from ez2view* this morning (Tuesday 10th March 2026):

*  Note that these charts can also be generated by licensed users of NEMreview v7.

  • We have the benefit of three more ‘end of day’ prices from ASX Energy – for Thursday 5th and Friday 6th and Monday 9th March
  • And we see slightly different reactions in the different regions

 

 

 

 

The NSW region with a sharpest uptick

Here’s the updated trend for the NSW region, which clearly shows a sustained uptick into the current week:

2026-03-10-ez2view-Trend-NSW-SpotandFutures

 

 

2026 Q2 BASE – Price and Volume

Rather than repeat the other three charts, I thought I would add this in for a little more context, in terms of:

  • Relative prices across the mainland regions (at least for 2026 Q2 BASE contracts), and relative uplift in response to recent events;
  • But also recent trading volumes, to show an uptick in recent days … albeit no volume in SA since 26th February 2026 (before the bombings began)

2026-03-10-ez2view-Trend-2026Q2-PriceAndVolume


About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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