On 19th February 2026, AEMO declared Scheduling Error #74 (with respect to 16th October 2025)

A belated and back-dated article, dated for 19th February 2026, which was when the AEMO declared a ‘Scheduling Error’ – Incident #74 with respect to 16th October 2025 as follows:

1)  Incident description =

‘From 1230 to 1625 hrs on 16/10/2025, AEMOs Variable Renewable Energy Forecasting System (VREFS) used to forecast Unconstrained Intermittent Generation Forecasts (UIGF) incorrectly produced a 0 MW forecast for 8 wind farms. 3 (COLWF01, GULLRWF2, and STWF1) of these wind farms were using self-forecasts and therefore were not impacted. The remaining 5 (BANGOWF1, BANGOWF2, BODWF1, CROOKWF2, CRURWF1) wind farms were dispatched at 0 MW for intervals between between 1230 and 1510 before the error was progressively rectified, resulting in no scheduling errors in dispatch from 1625 hrs.’

2)  Incident Category =

‘SCADA/IT’

3)  Incident Duration =

From:  16/10/2025 12:30

To:  16/10/2025 16:25

Duration = 3.92 hours

4)  Incident Rectification =

‘AEMO identified the VREFS issue and applied a permanent fix.’


About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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