Wild winds in TAS drive aggregate instantaneous Wind Farm capacity factor close to 100%

I couldn’t help but notice the Weatherzone article ‘Wild winter winds hit 156 km/h in Tas, 128 km/h on mainland’ whilst eating lunch:

2024-08-28-at-11-16-Weatherzone-Windy-TAS

Without scrolling further, to see the wind speeds on the mainland, that’s clearly some impressive wind speeds (which had been predicted earlier).

Naturally I wondered what that was meaning, in terms of aggregate yield from the (small but growing) number of Wind Farms on the island … so quickly threw together this trend using the ‘Trends Engine’ function within our ez2view software:

2024-08-28-at-13-33-ez2view-Trends-TAS-wind

There are various things that can be seen in this trend:

1)  Headline is that there were periods where aggregate capacity factor has gone quite close to 100% on an instantaneous basis:

(a)  such as on 21st August, 22nd August and 23rd August

(b)  and on Monday 26th August, Tuesday 27th August and today (Wednesday 28th August).

2)  Also of interest were a few drops in wind output (that look quite sudden, in the scale of the chart) that are lined up with price volatility:

(a)  I’ve highlighted two in the past ~24 hours

(b)  I wonder, given the wind speeds, whether there were any cases of high wind speed cut-out (but have not yet looked).

 

That’s some impressive wind speeds, and outputs!


About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

1 Comment on "Wild winds in TAS drive aggregate instantaneous Wind Farm capacity factor close to 100%"

  1. A most interesting generating frenzy. Paul as Tasmania’s wedge tailed Eagles are an endangered species how about a regular story on their deaths at our glorious windfarms.

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