Guest author, Allan O’Neil, contributed this ‘Down 55% – but not out’ article that covered a number of different aspects of what went on on this eventful evening … both top-down and bottom-up.
Part 5
Friday 19th March 2021
AEMO published their preliminary report.
Part 6
(more to come?)
Perhaps there will be more, as there are still a few questions we are puzzled about….
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients.
Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.
Weather forecasts tell of an expected hot weekend on Saturday (in Melbourne & Adelaide) and then Sunday (in Sydney) – which has led to some news articles talking about “searing heat across the southeast putting energy supplies under pressure”. Let’s not get carried away – it looks like the levels of demand will be pretty moderate.
Returning to the theme of analysis of Q2 prices (completed in 2017 and 2016 due to Q2 historically being an uneventful period) we see that prices have backed off from the “off the charts” level of 2017, but are still much higher in all regions than most other regions. In some cases results are second worst in 20 years.
1 Commenton "AEMO publishes Preliminary Incident Report about incident on Friday 12th March in South Australia"
I see a seismic shift is underway-
https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/seismic-shift-underway-of-electricity-grid/ar-BB1eUQK3