Winning a consolation prize (Comp #7) for peak Wind Production

Continuing with our series of competitions today, we assembled the entries to see who was closest to the mark in predicting peak wind output over summer 2014-15, and so who wins this portable barbeque:

Here's the consolation prize that's being given to our 6 other winners

This was Competition #7, and earlier today I posted this analysis of what happened with wind output as it’s grown in contribution over the past 7 summers.

Hence the main thing that remains to do is to congratulate Elijah Pack, from the AEMO, as he was only 1MW below the actual peak with the closest entry of many we received!

Astute observers will note that this is Elijah’s second win of the series – and note that winning 2 prizes is something that’s perfectly fine under the Fine Print for the competition.  We know he has good homes in mind for each of his prizes!

Recapping the winners

This means that our competition table stands as follows:

Competition #1
{The Main Prize}
Peak NEM-Wide Demand
for the “extended summer” period
Demand did not even rise above 30,000MW – which surprised us, and most of our entrants (as we discussed here).

The winner, as announced on Tuesday 7th April, was energy-sector lawyer, Connor James.

Competition #2 {Consolation} Peak Queensland Demand
for the same period
The winner is still to be declared…
Competition #3 {Consolation} Peak NSW Demand
for the same period
On Monday (13th April) we highlighted how the NSW peak demand was 3,000MW shy of the all-time record.

The winner, as announced here was Jeremy Machet, an energy-focused student.

Competition #4 {Consolation} Peak Victoria Demand
for the same period
In Victoria the peak demand was almost 2,000MW below the peaks achieved in other years – as discussed here.

The winner, as announced here on Thursday 9th April was Elijah Pack from the AEMO.

Competition #5 {Consolation} Peak South Australia Demand
for the same period
This past summer, the South Australian demand did not break 3,000MW – and, indeed, for only a small number of days was it above 2,000MW.

Not daunted by this challenge, the winner (as announced here on Friday 10th April)  was Cameron Butler from Energy Price Solutions.

Competition #6 {Consolation} Peak Tasmania Demand
for the same period
Tasmania is normally a winter peaking region (the only one, these days), so picking the winter peak demand might be thought of as somewhat “easier” than for mainland regions – though not without its own challenges.
On Tuesday 14th April we posted this analysis of peak Tassie pseudo-summer demand.

The winner, as announced on that day was Reinhard Struve, from a Government Department (though in a “foreign” region!).

Competition #7{Consolation} Peak Aggregate NEM-Wide Wind Production
for the same period
Today (Thursday 16th April) we highlighted how wind output peaked up at 2,848MW.

The winner, as announced here today (Thursday 16th April) was Elijah Pack from the AEMO, who was closest to the mark.

Stay tuned to learn of the remaining winner – for peak Queensland demand…

About the Author

Paul McArdle
One of three founders of Global-Roam back in 2000, Paul has been CEO of the company since that time. As an author on WattClarity, Paul's focus has been to help make the electricity market more understandable.

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