Summer’s on the way (first hot day we’ve posted about)

An early-morning SMS from NEM-Watch SMS Alarms alerted us to the forecast LOR2 in South Australia for tomorrow (Wed 22nd ) and Thursday (Thu 23rd) – with the full text of the notice being here:

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MARKET NOTICE
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From :              AEMO
To   :              NEMITWEB1
Creation Date :     21/10/2014     06:55:12

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Notice ID               :         46668
Notice Type ID          :         RESERVE NOTICE
Notice Type Description :         LRC/LOR1/LOR2/LOR3
Issue Date              :         21/10/2014
External Reference      :         Forecast LOR2 in South Australia Region – 22 and 23 October 2014

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Reason :

AEMO ELECTRICITY MARKET NOTICE

Forecast LOR2 condition South Australia Region –
05:30 – 17:00 hrs on 22 October 2014
05:30 – 17:00 hrs on 23 October 2014

A LOR2 condition is forecast for the South Australia region during the planned outages of Moorabool – Sydenham No.1  and  South Morang – Sydenham No.1  500 kV lines in the Victorian region on 22 and 23 October 2014.

If a credible contingency event occurs during this outage period the South Australia region could separate from the rest of the NEM and is likely to result in interruptions to power supplies.

There are sufficient capacity reserves in the South Australia region to meet electricity demand but it may not be possible to bring the required additional capacity into service in time to avoid automatic under-frequency load shedding causing power interruptions.

Actual LOR2 conditions will be advised in dispatch.

Bhishma Chhetri
NEM RTO – Operations Planning

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END OF REPORT
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The NEM-Watch snapshot below from 12:00 NEM time (GMT + 10) highlights the AEMO Market Notice, and also the higher temperatures we’re seeing in South Australia at the moment.

2014-10-21-at-12-00-NEM-Watch-firsthotday

What will the demand peak at this summer?

Who will win the BBQWill it be you (stay tuned for how to enter)?


About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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