Sorted entries, in our annual “Best Demand Forecaster” competition for 2012-13

This summer we have already been subjected to extreme temperatures across the country – and, more recently, extreme rainfalls and flooding events.

Now that it’s February our schools are back, and business back at work – hence it’s timely to summarise entries we received over the narrow Christmas-to-New Year window in which competition entries were open in our regular “Best Demand Forecaster in the NEM” competition for summer 2012-13.

To make it easier for our readers who are keenly interested in tracking where their entries (or those of their friends, colleagues, or competitors) are sitting, we have sorted the entries from lowest to highest, and identified which entries are valid for the two different kinds of prizes we’ll be handing out in March 2013, when the dust has settled on summer once again:

[please let us know if you can see any mistakes we’ve made in transcribing the below!]

On 17th January 2013 the NEM-wide demand raced past all of the bearish entries (above).  We posted more about this demand event, on that day itself (at the time showing a demand on the NEM-Watch snapshot of 31,598MW – at 15:55).

At that time, the entries above were too low.

However the demand climbed a little more in the following hour, past 4 more entrants above, and (as noted as a PS to that post) reached 31,846MW at 16:50 on that day.

As such, all the entries (but one) above are already out-of-the-money for the the Beefmaster Premium BBQ prize (though the closer ones still might be in contention for the cinema tickets in certain regions).

If the hot weather returns in February, we’d expect the peak demand to push higher, into the more bullish entries below.

Also identified in the table above are a few of the significant events of summer so far.

We’d invite you to use your own copy of NEM-Watch, deSide or ez2viewAustralia to keep an eye on how demand trends for the rest of summer.