Who was the Winner? (for Summer 2005-06)

Posted by Paul McArdle Thursday, December 18 2008 Topic: Who's the best demand forecaster in the NEM?

  1. The Winner

    2. The winner was Trevor Persal (from Ergon Energy).

    We believe that Trevor is enjoying the BBQ we provided as a prize for the competition in that year.

  2. Analysis of Entries

    3. The following chart was prepared, at the time, to provide some indication of the wide variation in submissions we received about what the NEM-Wide demand would be:


    Spread of estimates for the Summer 2005-2006 Peak Demand in the NEM

    As can be seen in the chart above:

    • The estimates ranged from below 30,000MW to above 35,000MW (a spread of nearly 6,000MW, or 20%).
    • Most entries tended to over-estimate what the actual peak demand happened to be for that summer (30,994MW on 23rd January 2006)

  3. Analysis of Demand

    4. The following chart was prepared in March 2006 to summarise the daily maximum, NEM-wide demand over each of the days of summer 2005-06:

    Daily Maximum NEM Demand for Summer 2005-2006

    For further details about what happened in the NEM over summer 2005-06, please see our listing of articles at WattClarity®.

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About the Author

Paul McArdle
Paul was one of the founders of Global-Roam in February 2000. He is currently the CEO of the company and the principal author of WattClarity. Writing for WattClarity has become a natural extension of his work in understanding the electricity market, enabling him to lead the team in developing better software for clients. Before co-founding the company, Paul worked as a Mechanical Engineer for the Queensland Electricity Commission in the early 1990s. He also gained international experience in Japan, the United States, Canada, the UK, and Argentina as part of his ES Cornwall Memorial Scholarship.

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8 Trackbacks & Pingbacks

  1. Are you the best demand forecaster in the NEM this summer? | WattClarity
  2. Beefmaster Premium 6 on Cart with Side Burner! Who wouldn’t want to be the best demand forecaster in the NEM this summer? | WattClarity
  3. Celebrate a summer Christmas with us–with your own new Beefmaster Premium 6 BBQ! | WattClarity
  4. High temperatures drive NEM-wide demand towards 30,000MW | WattClarity
  5. Give your Summer extra Sizzle with our Suggested “Seasons Greetings” Submission (and win your new Premium Beefmaster 6 Burner BBQ on Cart with Side Burner) | WattClarity
  6. Can you sizzle like the pros – by calculating one of these metrics for summer in the NEM? | WattClarity
  7. Recapping prior peaks in NEM-wide demand | WattClarity
  8. If your horse did not come in today – here’s a better chance to win a BBQ (and possibly* a bottle of Grange) | WattClarity

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