WeatherWatch notes ‘Cyclonic Conditions for Victoria, Widespread Gales Across NSW & Areas of South Australia’
A short note (on Wednesday morning 22nd October 2025) about the Severe Weather warnings (from WeatherWatch, and then from AEMO).
All Posts
Taking a first focused look at the 16:50 dispatch interval on Thursday 16th October 2025 (with frequency dropped below NOFB) … Part 3
In Part 3 of this series with respect to Thursday 16th October 2025, we focus on when a large collective under-performance across all Semi-Scheduled Wind Farms and Solar Farms dragged the frequency outside the...
Unplanned outage of Dapto – Marulan (8) 330 kV line
At 07:55 (on Monday 20th October 2025), an unplanned outage of Dapto - Marulan (8) 330 kV line led to the unplanned invocation of the 'N-DTMN_8_15M' constraint set.
Spicy prices forecast for NSW on Monday afternoon/evening 20th October 2025
A quick note, on Monday morning 20th October 2025, showing the re-emergence of price forecasts up near the Market Price Cap for a 90-120 minute period this afternoon/evening.
Forecast Minimum System Load for Victoria next Saturday 25th October 2025
A short note to flag MN129813 looking forward to next Saturday 25th October 2025, flagging possible MSL1 in Victoria.
Considerable uncertainty, with respect to what might unfold in NSW next Wednesday 22nd October 2025
Following a series of Market Notices from AEMO with respect to forecast LORx conditions for NSW next Wednesday 22nd October 2025, we take a first look.
Price spike in NSW (and QLD!) at 14:55 on Friday 17th October 2025
A very quick article to record the price spike (for ENERGY) in the NSW region at 14:55 earlier today (Friday 17th October 2025) ... and Contingency Lower in QLD.
How the NEM BESS fleet is operating on peak days, and how to be a savvy operator
In this guest article, Matt Grover from Fluence draws on operational data and real-world trading experience to unpack how Australia’s grid-scale batteries performed across three June 2025 peak days — and what capabilities belong...
Peeling the second layer of the onion, with respect to the (SemiSched-induced) frequency weakness on Thursday 16th October 2025
Having already noted the ‘Weakness in frequency stability on Thursday afternoon 16th October 2025’, we take a look at the causes - for the four high-profile dispatch intervals.
Aldoga Solar Farm on Sunday 12th October 2025 – Part 2
In this article we inspect power deviations from dispatched units that would have contributed to the frequency rise, and the deviations that would have contributed to the correction.
Guest Authored Posts
24 GW in 24 months, a race against time for the NEM
Following his presentation at All-Energy in Melbourne last week, David Dixon reports on the state of the NEM's ambition to reach 82% renewables by 2030.
The implications of the Solar Sharer Offer (SSO) and Default Market Offer (DMO) review outcome on energy sellers
In this guest-authored article, Connor James explains the upcoming changes to the DMO, including the much publicised Solar Sharer Offer (SSO), and potential implications for energy sellers in NSW, SEQ, and SA.
Detailed Analysis
Keeping up with the curtailment 2024: A little? too much? or much ado about nothing?
Drawing from our freshly released GSD2024, Dan provides some deeper insights into curtailment in the NEM, beyond the headline totals that were a topic of much online discussion earlier this week.
The GSD2024 (Generator Statistical Digest 2024) is released
It's Wednesday 5th February 2025, and we* are pleased to release the GSD2024 … following a focused effort across both teams over the period since the changeover from 2024 into 2025. Some details here,...
Interconnector intricacies: double and triple auto-clamping of pesky negative residues
Dan looks at some recent and peculiar auto-clamping behaviour of interconnectors, and walks through the market arrangements causing these occurrences.
A quick review of Queensland bidding over recent days (incl Wed 22nd Jan 2025)
Whilst we're waiting to see where 'Market Demand' lands for Friday 24th January 2025 (we might report that later), I was curious in terms of supply-side performance of units over the past 4 days...
Very fast FCAS, 2024 in review
A 2024 review of the trend in the very fast FCAS services captures enablements, availabilities and costs.
Mainland grid frequency: cat ears and golf
It was captured by a keen eyed reader, that the distribution of mainland grid frequency in recent times now exhibits cat ears.
Four NEM-related themes from COP29
After returning from COP29 in Baku, Dan shares his thoughts about energy transition challenges in international electricity markets, and how they intersect with what we're seeing in the NEM.
Down for the count: eight separate transmission tower failure incidents in less than five years
A map of where the eight separate transmission tower incidents have occurred over the past five years.