A closer look at LOR projections in South Australia next Monday 30th June 2025
A quick look into those LOR forecasts for South Australia next Monday, including a view of forecasts for market demand, wind and solar conditions, and generator outages.
All Posts
A 409MW drop in ‘Market Demand’ in Victoria on Tuesday 24th June 2025
Another short article about a large change in demand – this one being a 409MW drop in ‘Market Demand’ to the 12:10 dispatch interval (NEM time) on Tuesday 24th June 2025.
Forecast LOR3 for South Australia for Monday 30th June 2025
Beginning Monday evening 23rd June 2025, the AEMO has forecast extremely tight supply-demand balance in South Australia (including possible load shedding) for Monday 30th June 2025.
New all-time record for NEM-wide wind, on Monday 23rd June 2025
We see a new record for NEM-wide wind production was set at 22:35 (NEM time) on Monday evening 23rd June 2025, with aggregate FinalMW reaching 9,491MW.
Red Electrica report on the “Blackout in Spanish Peninsula Electrical System on 28th of April 2025”
On Wednesday 18th June 2025 Red Eléctrica (REE) published on the “Blackout in Spanish Peninsula Electrical System on 28th of April 2025” .
The frequency of coal generation events in 2025
A count of coal generator events indicates large unit trips are less frequent.
‘June 12 was one of the most challenging days of the last 4 years’
It was with interest that one of our team members noted David Osmond’s comment earlier today when he said 'June 12 was one of the most challenging days of the last 4 years ...'
A dose of evening volatility across the mainland, on Wednesday 18th June 2025
Here’s a snapshot from NEMwatch at 17:35 on Wednesday 18th June 2025 as food for further discussions at 'Energy Week' in Melbourne tomorrow.
The Non-Confidential Report (182 pages) into the Iberian blackout
Earlier today we wrote about the ‘News Release on the blackout on the Iberian Peninsula...’. Here's the report (which we could not find at the time).
News Release on the blackout on the Iberian Peninsula (on 28th April 2025) suggests overvoltage was the cause
On Tue 17th June 2025 (local time) a news release has been made to suggest a report into the April 2025 power outage on Iberian Peninsula has been released.
Guest Authored Posts
Not all renewable projects are created equal: Why approval times vary dramatically across Australia
Alice Matthews examines how approval times for renewables vary widely by state and technology — with NSW wind projects facing the longest delays.
Triple C conditions (cold, calm and cloudy) across the NEM last Thursday evening 26th June 2025
Carl Daley examines the underlying conditions and outcomes that occurred last Thursday evening, the 26th of June.
Detailed Analysis
Very fast FCAS, 2024 in review
A 2024 review of the trend in the very fast FCAS services captures enablements, availabilities and costs.
Mainland grid frequency: cat ears and golf
It was captured by a keen eyed reader, that the distribution of mainland grid frequency in recent times now exhibits cat ears.
Four NEM-related themes from COP29
After returning from COP29 in Baku, Dan shares his thoughts about energy transition challenges in international electricity markets, and how they intersect with what we're seeing in the NEM.
Down for the count: eight separate transmission tower failure incidents in less than five years
A map of where the eight separate transmission tower incidents have occurred over the past five years.
So long solo solar, and hi hybrids?
A summary of the key challenges facing standalone solar and wind farms over the past several years, along with discussion and thoughts about whether new rules surrounding hybrids systems will address these.
What the last twenty years of the ESOO tells us about blackout predictions
After skimming through the last twenty editions of the ESOO over the past couple of days, Dan shares some thoughts about what has and hasn't changed over the years.
A tale of two mega-projects: Project Energy Connect and Snowy 2.0 timelines (Part 2)
In the second half of this two-part case study we look at a timeline of the Snowy 2.0 project, and discuss the history of mega-projects in the NEM.
A tale of two mega-projects: Project Energy Connect and Snowy 2.0 timelines (Part 1)
A timeline of evolving expectations for the cost, benefits, and delivery dates for Project Energy Connect - following news of recent issues surrounding the project.