Callide C3 return to service delayed another week
An updated look at the ‘MT PASA DUID Availability’ widget in ez2view shows another delay in returning Callide C3 to service.
Spot gas prices hit $20/GJ on Tuesday 6th July
A short record of gas prices being up at $20/GJ and above through a cold spell for winter, with other factors at work.
NEM-wide scheduled demand exceeds 31,000MW and IRPM drops to 11.93% on Monday 5th July 2021
Quick notes about the winter evening peak in demand on Monday 5th July 2021
Price volatility in the QLD region on Saturday 3rd July 2021
A rainy Saturday morning reminds us the price volatility for Q2 in QLD has not totally gone away … with elevated prices for ENERGY and also Contingency FCAS (Raise 6 second and Raise 60 second).
Here’s one reason why the market was blindsided by high average prices in Q2 2021
Here’s one big reason why the high outcome for Q2 time-weighted average spot prices were so far away from the (much lower) expectations in all 4 regions at the start of the quarter.
Yallourn unit 4 back online on Friday 2nd July 2021
On Friday evening (2nd July 2021) Yallourn 4 returned to service
Looking back at a Q2 2021 period that’s been anything but boring
Now making it 5 out of the past 6 years, we return to the analysis of electricity (spot and futures) pricing patterns for Q2 periods across the NEM regions … and also in Western Australia. We see a number of ways in which Q2 2021 was ‘anything but boring’!
Return to service date for Callide C3 now expected Friday 9th July 2021
An updated view of the return to service schedule of Callide C3 and C4 … along with Yallourn unit 4.
AEMC publishes draft determination on application to lower Registration threshold for Generators
On Thursday last week the AEMC published a Draft Determination in response to an application by AEC to combat one form of ‘Villain #8’ in relation to Registration of generators under the mandatory 30MW registration threshold.
Yallourn unit 2 restarts on Sunday 27th June
Yallourn now has 3 units back online, with return-to-service (RTS) of Yallourn unit 2 on Sunday 27th June 2021.
Yallourn Unit 3 returns early this afternoon
Unit 3 at Yallourn Power Station came back online early this afternoon. Recent flooding at the power station’s adjoining mine has impacted it’s fuel supplies in recent weeks.
A Second Serving of the Q2 Elephant
For a second portion of Q2 “elephant eating”, I’ll look in some detail at the dynamics of an early instance of spot price volatility in Queensland, because many drivers turn…
Callide B2 returns to service late this morning
Callide B2 returned to service this morning after nearly a month of being offline, following the explosion and outage at the station in late May.
Is the predictability of day-ahead demand improving?
Day-ahead demand forecasts will be integral to any future ‘Ahead Market’. We take a look at the current state and accuracy trend of demand forecasts made 24 hours ahead as part of the broader piece of work to feed into GenInsights21.
Gas issues and low wind contribute to low NEM-wide IRPM (and volatility) on Monday 21st June 2021
A short article marking (yet) another volatile evening in the NEM in this ‘elephant’ of a Q2 2021… now with some added challenges for gas-fired generation.
Using ‘MT PASA DUID Availability’ widget in ez2view to compare unit availability with expectations prior to Q2 2021
Following Saturday’s review of changed expectations for Callide Power Station and Yallourn Power Station, I took a look at aggregate expectation by fuel type. Here’s a belated article with the results.
Villain #8 – the ‘Invisible Man’
A few recent developments have prompted this article about Villain no8, a villain initially contemplated prior to my ‘forecast of sorts’ back at Clean Energy Summit in July 2017.
Eating the NEM’s Q2 Elephant – An Appetizer
An old adage runs that to eat an elephant, it’s best to proceed in small servings. With a very eventful Q2 in the NEM not yet finished, the number of…
Yallourn unit 3 scheduled return to service on Tuesday 22nd June
After taking a quick look at the Callide units, we’ve also used ez2view to have a quick look at the Yallourn units to see when they are scheduled to return.
Return to service slips further, for Callide B2
A quick look this afternoon sees that the return to service for Callide B2 has been delayed a few days since I last looked during the week.