Just as had been forecast, Tuesday 13th January 2009 saw hot, dry weather roll in across South Australia, and then into Victoria. The high temperatures caused demand to climb, but not to the level at which NEMMCO had forecast demand to climb over the summer period. As a result we saw the price in SA jump to a level near VOLL at 13:40, and remain there until about 18:00 (i.e. more than 4 hours).
One of 12 articles on the months past in the NEM. Here we examine the trends in price and demand across the NEM for September, and take a closer look at the effects of the 2007 drought on this particular month.
One of 12 articles on the months past in the NEM – in which we examine the trends in price and demand across the NEM for the month of August.
One of 12 articles on the months past in the NEM. Analysis of July has revealed that the peak NEM-wide demand for the past 3 years has occurred in winter – and has been significantly higher than the peak summer demand.
One of 12 articles on the months past in the NEM. June has brought us several cases of “economic witholding of capacity” – particularly in 2002, and in 2007 the NEM had a very interesting week in which the IRPM plunged to its lowest level ever.
One of 12 articles on the months past in the NEM – in which we examine the trends in price and demand across the NEM for the month of May.
One of 12 articles on the months past in the NEM. Here we present a detailed analysis of prices in each region of the NEM, for the month of April over the past 10 years.
One of 12 articles on the months past in the NEM – covering notable events of March, such as the unforgettable South Australian heatwave of 2008 which caused the Cumulative Price to reach the Cumulative Price Threshold for the first time in our memory.
One of 12 articles on the months past in the NEM. February has seen multiple price spikes over the years often as a result of high demand caused by the summer heat, but also during times of surplus available generation capacity.
One of 12 articles on the months past in the NEM. For January we revisit events such as the fires at Moomba in 2004 (which curtailed gas supplies from central Australia); and the blackout on 16th January 2007 which drove the price to VOLL in Victoria.
A month by month view of the history of the NEM.
High temperatures in Queensland drive demand up on New Year’s Eve.
An overview of the estimates to date for the peak demand guessing competition of summer 2008-2009.
Collected articles on the notable events of the summer of 2008-2009.
A brief analysis of NEM-wide demand and IRPM during the summer months over the past 4 years.
Guess the peak demand for summer 2008-2009 and win a “Beefmaster Premium 6 on Side Burner Cart” barbeque.
We did not run the competition for summer 2007-08, but we did have, however, some occasions to perform analysis of summer 2007-08.
The results of the peak demand forecasting competition for summer 2006-2007.
The great bi-annual peak demand forecasting competition. Prove your forecasting prowess and you could win a great seasonal prize!
The results of the peak demand forecasting competition for summer 2005-2006.