AEMO updates forecast MSL1 for Victoria for today (Saturday 26th October 2024)
At 09:01 (NEM time) on Saturday 26th October 2024 the AEMO has published MN119423 to update their forecast for MSL1 today in Victoria
Market Operations
Is the bottom going to fall out of ‘Market Demand’ on a NEM-wide basis tomorrow (Sat 26th Oct 2024)
We wondered what the very, very low demand forecast for NSW (on Sat 26th Oct 2024) that might mean for NEM-wide demand – so we flipped the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widgets to look at NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ and our jaws hit the floor …
Is the bottom going to fall out of the NSW ‘Market Demand’ tomorrow (Saturday 26th October 2024)?
It was only 5 days (on Sunday 20th October 2024) when we saw a new ‘lowest ever*’ point for ‘Market Demand’ in NSW … so we’re amazed to see AEMO forecasting a low point for tomorrow (Sat 26th Oct) a fully 15% lower than that ‘lowest ever’ point.
(Belated note about) Thursday’s AEMO market notice about forecast MSL1 for Sunday 27th October 2024
At 14:52 on Thursday 24th October the AEMO published MN119315 warning of forecast MSL1 on Sunday 27th October 2024.
Analysis of the recent destructive supercell storm in Broken Hill
Anthony Cornelius of WeatherWatch shares insights and graphical displays that demonstrate the extent of the supercell storm that toppled seven transmission towers in Broken Hill last week.
Backup generator in Broken Hill offline early morning Friday 25th October 2024
The GB01 unit (the back-up genset that has been supporting the Broken Hill area the past few days) has come offline overnight – early Friday 25th October 2024:.
AEMO directions for System Strength in Victoria, on Thursday morning 24th October 2024
It’s not (yet?) a frequent occurrence, so worth noting that AEMO has directed 2 units at Murray to synchronise and operate as a synchronous condenser from 08:00 (NEM time) on Thursday 24th October 2024 (to protect against low System Strength)
Broken Hill’s backup generator back online Tuesday evening 22nd October 2024
It’s Wednesday morning and the backup generator in Broken Hill (GB01) has run successfully through the night after restarting Tuesday afternoon 22nd October 2024.
Morning volatility in South Australia, on Wednesday 23rd October 2024
With All Energy 2024 commencing this morning in Melbourne our phones are buzzing with SMS alerts for price volatility in South Australia.
AEMO forecasts MSL1 in VIC for Saturday 26th October 2024
AEMO has published MN119194 on Tuesday afternoon 22nd October 2024 at 15:13 about forecast MSL1 for Victoria on Saturday 26th October 2024.
Back-up generator in Broken Hill tripped offline Monday 21st Oct, still offline Tuesday morning 22nd Oct 2024
At 16:41 (NEM time) on Monday 21st October the back-up generator in Broken Hill tripped – and is still offline on Tuesday morning 22nd October 2024.
New ‘lowest ever*’ point of NSW ‘Market Demand’, on Sunday 20th October 2024
In the following dispatch interval (11:50 on Sunday 20th October 2024) the level of ‘Market Demand’ fell ~200MW … below the prior ‘lowest ever*’ point set a few weeks earlier.
NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’, falls below 10,000MW for the first time ever* – on Sunday 20th October 2024
On Sunday 20th October 2024 we see a new ‘lowest ever*’ point for NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ courtesy of mild weather and gangbusters rooftop PV.
Update from the NSW government (on Sat 19th Oct 2024), on power supply restoration in in western NSW
Via an update on LinkedIn from NSW Energy Minister, we’ve become aware of this update on the NSW Government website ‘Update on NSW Government response to power outage in Far West NSW’.
Two updates (on Saturday 19th October 2024) on restoration, following Thursday evening storms in South Australia
Two independent updates (on Sat 19th Oct) about restoration activities following storms in SA on Thursday evening 17th October 2024.
‘Market Demand’ in South Australia falls to ‘lowest ever’ point on Saturday 19th October 2024
The ‘Market Demand’ in South Australia has fallen to its lowest ever point, on Saturday 19th October, and is forecast to fall lower still (in part because Olympic Dam is offline).
ElectraNet provide update that 29 transmission structures went down in SA, during last night’s weather event
ElectraNet are reporting that at least twenty-three transmission towers and six 132kV stobie poles fell down or were damaged during last night’s wild weather.
Living on an island … in Broken Hill
A quick review of electricity supply sources (that are visible to us) around the Broken Hill area.
Drop in NEM mainland frequency on Friday 18th October 2024 following trip of Loy Yang A2
Another ‘interesting’ event today … a dip in mainland frequency with trip of Loy Yang A2.
Olympic Dam now offline, as SA demand was already forecasted to go negative this weekend
Several media outlets are reporting that Olympic Dam in South Australia has lost power, which may cause headaches for system operators with demand in South Australia forecast to go negative this weekend.