Out of cycle MTPASA update identifies low reserves in VIC
ez2view widgets support quick understanding of the latest declaration of low reserve conditions for VIC in 2025.
Market Operations
Embankment rebuild completed at Barron Gorge Hydro Power Station, twelve months after Cyclone Jasper
A recent update from CleanCo indicates the repair works on the embankment at Kuranda Weir, located upstream of the Barron Gorge Hydro Power Station, have been completed. This comes twelve months after significant damage from Cyclone Jasper.
Forecasts moderate, for NSW on Monday 6th January 2025
Worth a short follow-on to say that the AEMO published MN122902 at 14:32 (NEM time) today noting the cancellation of the forecast LOR1 condition for NSW, as forecasts moderate.
Further analysis (and more questions) about four VIC Wind Farms on Monday 16th December 2024
In this article, we’re continuing to explore what happened to some Wind Farms in Victoria on Monday 16th December 2024 – which was a day of high temperatures, and on which many interesting things occurred. In this particular article, we focus on 4 x Wind Farms all in the same portfolio that exhibited some commonalities in output patterns and so on…
AEMO notes hot weather forecast for SA and VIC from 3rd January to 5th January 2025
The AEMO published ‘NEM Local Temperature Alert’ in MN122792 published at 11:12 (NEM time) on Friday 3rd January 2025.
AEMO publishes forecast LOR2 for NSW for Monday afternoon/evening 6th January 2025
Following AEMO’s MN122697 (published at 06:51 NEM time), we take a look at the ‘forecast LOR2’ condition for NSW on Monday 6th January 2025.
Victoria sees new ‘lowest ever*’ point for ‘Market Demand’ (and Actual MSL1) on Wednesday 1st January 2025
On Wednesday 1st January 2025 (New Year’s Day), Victoria saw both a new ‘lowest ever*’ point for ‘Market Demand’ and Actual MSL1.
Tuesday 31st December 2024 – New Year’s Eve
A very short summary of New Years Eve 2024 … with more to come in subsequent articles (time permitting)
Where are those Semi-Scheduled Wind Farms in Victoria that were reviewed w.r.t. Monday 16th December 2024
To assist readers in our ongoing review of possible high-temperature (or other) effects on Wind Farm output in Victoria on Monday 16th December 2024, here’s a map we’ve put together to help indicate the location of each of the Semi-Scheduled wind farms.
AEMO publishes ‘Local Temperature Alert’ for Wed 25th Dec and Thu 26th Dec 2024
A short note to record AEMO MN122436 noting Local Temperature Alerts for SA, VIC on Wed 25th and Thu 26th December 2024
Low ‘Market Demand’ … and Actual MSL1 … in Victoria on Sunday 22nd December 2024
A short article to record the incidence of the ‘Actual MSL1’ event for the VIC region, which AEMO noted in MN122399 at 11:16 on Sunday 22nd December 2024
AEMO forecasts a (second ever?) MSL2-level ‘Minimum System Load’ for Victoria on Sunday 22nd December 2024
Worth noting MN122275 published at 15:51 on Thursday 19th December 2024 being what I believe might be the second-ever forecast for the tighter MSL2- level alert for the coming Sunday 22nd December 2024.
Planned network outage on Line 17 (Avon to Macarthur) commences on Wednesday morning 18th December 2024, as per the (deferred) plan
A short note to highlight that the alerting in ez2view has flagged that the (deferred) network outage (in the ‘N-X_AVMA_KCTX’ constraint set) commenced Wednesday morning 18th December 2024.
Part 2 in a review of bidding, on Monday 16th December 2024 (a focus on VIC Wind Farms)
We’ve posted ‘A quick initial review of bids, for Monday 16th December 2024’ early in the morning of the following day. In this follow-on article, we focus specifically on Wind Farms in Victoria – using ‘Bids & offers’ widget in ez2view to peel one more layer of the onion (and revealing more questions in the process).
Actual LOR1 eventuates in NSW on Tue afternoon 17th Dec 2024
Market Notice #122113 states that an actual LOR1 condition has eventuated in NSW, with prices and demand still fluctuating in the region at the time of writing.
Price start to climb in (QLD and) NSW on Tuesday 17th December 2024
A short article with this NEMwatch snapshot at 15:20 (NEM time) to highlight that spot prices in NSW and QLD have started to climb, but demand forecast for NSW is moderating.
Victoria soared to 47°C yesterday, for first time since Black Summer
Weatherzone’s Ant Sharwood shares insights into yesterday’s extreme temperatures in Victoria.
Putting Victoria’s high demand levels (on Monday 16th December 2024) in longer-term context
Electricity Demand in Victoria on Monday 16th December 2024 reached quite high levels … but they were not ‘all time maximum’ (i.e if looking at ‘Market Demand’ or ‘Grid Demand’).
A quick initial review of bids, for Monday 16th December 2024
Monday 16th December 2024 was an interesting day in the NEM for a number of reasons. So we’ll use the ‘Bids & Offers’ widget in ez2view to do this quick initial review and then, depending what we see, determine whether we want to invest further time to delve deeper…
NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ peaks at 33,674MW at 17:30 on Monday 16th December 2024
A short after-the-fact note to confirm NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ was (as predicted) highest since 31st January 2020 (almost 4 years ago) … in a case where AEMO Operational Forecasting team nailed the demand in forecasts more than 3 days earlier. Take a bow!