Victoria sees new ‘lowest ever*’ point for ‘Market Demand’ (and Actual MSL1) on Wednesday 1st January 2025
On Wednesday 1st January 2025 (New Year's Day), Victoria saw both a new 'lowest ever*' point for 'Market Demand' and Actual MSL1.
Eventful Days
Tuesday 31st December 2024 – New Year’s Eve
A very short summary of New Years Eve 2024 ... with more to come in subsequent articles (time permitting)
Where are those Semi-Scheduled Wind Farms in Victoria that were reviewed w.r.t. Monday 16th December 2024
To assist readers in our ongoing review of possible high-temperature (or other) effects on Wind Farm output in Victoria on Monday 16th December 2024, here’s a map we’ve...
AEMO publishes ‘Local Temperature Alert’ for Wed 25th Dec and Thu 26th Dec 2024
A short note to record AEMO MN122436 noting Local Temperature Alerts for SA, VIC on Wed 25th and Thu 26th December 2024
Low ‘Market Demand’ … and Actual MSL1 … in Victoria on Sunday 22nd December 2024
A short article to record the incidence of the ‘Actual MSL1’ event for the VIC region, which AEMO noted in MN122399 at 11:16 on Sunday 22nd December 2024
AEMO forecasts a (second ever?) MSL2-level ‘Minimum System Load’ for Victoria on Sunday 22nd December 2024
Worth noting MN122275 published at 15:51 on Thursday 19th December 2024 being what I believe might be the second-ever forecast for the tighter MSL2- level alert for the...
Planned network outage on Line 17 (Avon to Macarthur) commences on Wednesday morning 18th December 2024, as per the (deferred) plan
A short note to highlight that the alerting in ez2view has flagged that the (deferred) network outage (in the ‘N-X_AVMA_KCTX’ constraint set) commenced Wednesday morning 18th December 2024.
Part 2 in a review of bidding, on Monday 16th December 2024 (a focus on VIC Wind Farms)
We’ve posted ‘A quick initial review of bids, for Monday 16th December 2024’ early in the morning of the following day. In this follow-on article, we focus specifically...
Actual LOR1 eventuates in NSW on Tue afternoon 17th Dec 2024
Market Notice #122113 states that an actual LOR1 condition has eventuated in NSW, with prices and demand still fluctuating in the region at the time of writing.
Price start to climb in (QLD and) NSW on Tuesday 17th December 2024
A short article with this NEMwatch snapshot at 15:20 (NEM time) to highlight that spot prices in NSW and QLD have started to climb, but demand forecast for...
Victoria soared to 47°C yesterday, for first time since Black Summer
Weatherzone's Ant Sharwood shares insights into yesterday's extreme temperatures in Victoria.
Putting Victoria’s high demand levels (on Monday 16th December 2024) in longer-term context
Electricity Demand in Victoria on Monday 16th December 2024 reached quite high levels … but they were not ‘all time maximum’ (i.e if looking at 'Market Demand' or...
A quick initial review of bids, for Monday 16th December 2024
Monday 16th December 2024 was an interesting day in the NEM for a number of reasons. So we’ll use the ‘Bids & Offers’ widget in ez2view to do...
NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ peaks at 33,674MW at 17:30 on Monday 16th December 2024
A short after-the-fact note to confirm NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ was (as predicted) highest since 31st January 2020 (almost 4 years ago) ... in a case where AEMO Operational...
NEM-wide market demand indeed peaks at a four-year high on Monday afternoon, 16th Dec 2024
NEM-wide market demand peaked at a four-year high on Monday afternoon, landing at 33,674 MW during the 17:30 dispatch interval.
Many DUIDs (esp Western VIC and Western NSW) subject to bound constraints, at 16:20 on Monday 16th December 2024
Here's a single snapshot from ez2view at the 16:15 dispatch interval to illustrate widespread constraint limitations in western NSW and western VIC.
NEM-wide ‘Market Demand’ is trending above forecast (to 15:45) – in part because of …
In this short article we include a single snapshot of ez2view at the 15:45 dispatch interval with three copies of the ‘Forecast Convergence’ widget to show actual levels...
‘Underlying Demand’ above 38,000MW … on Monday 16th December 2024
It might be useful for readers to reflect on the following snapshot from NEMwatch at the 14:00 dispatch interval (NEM time) to see Underlying Demand above 38,000MW.
Looking ahead (prior to 9am), to Monday evening 16th December 2024
Last Friday afternoon 13th December 2024 we wrote that ‘NEM-wide demand on Monday 16th December forecast to be highest in almost 4 years’. So I thought this morning...
NEM-wide demand on Monday 16th December forecast to be highest in almost 4 years
As at 13:45 on Friday 13th December, the peak demand (measured as ‘Market Demand’ ) forecast for Monday is 33,718MW in the half-hour ending 18:00 (NEM time). In...