We thought it was worth separately collating these examples of how to answer the question ‘How many years of reference data are required to construct a robust model of the future?’.
A couple comments/conversations at today's Endgame seminar in Brisbane prompts me to publish this long-term review of aggregate battery operations across the NEM.
On slide from the Endgame seminar today in Brisbane focused on the recent 4-day wind lull in South Australia. Many points resonated, but I want to flag just two ...
No less of interest for me will be this Tuesday’s Endgame seminar in Brisbane, titled ‘Expanding the modeller’s toolkit’.
Nadali Mahmoudi from EPEC Group presents a short case study to show why network-outage modelling is essential for understanding revenue opportunities, curtailment risk and long-term investment decisions.
Following my presentation at NEMdev 2025 (on 8th Oct 2025), here are some suggestions that the Nelson Review panel might consider - with respect to forecasting.
Returning for the second day of CEC QCES in the 'Long Duration Energy Storage' Oliver Nunn shared more insights from the Endgame modelling.
Flagging two charts that Rimu talked through to sum up some of the observations he made about some modelled results for some (unstated) year late in the next decade.
About 4 weeks ago the 2025 ESOO was released. In this article we highlight 3 x 2 different ways this might be viewed - and note some other dimensions not considered.
A short note about some comments made by Oliver Nunn during the 'Faster than Forecast' session at Queensland Clean Energy Summit on Mon 15th Sept 2025.
It was with interest that one of our team members noted David Osmond’s comment earlier today when he said 'June 12 was one of the most challenging days of the last 4 years ...'
Oliver Nunn and his team at Endgame Economics have written this introductory three-part guide to market modelling in the NEM. This is Part 3: "Defense against the dark arts"
Oliver Nunn and his team at Endgame Economics have written this introductory three-part guide to market modelling in the NEM. This is Part 2: "Operational dispatch modelling"
Oliver Nunn and his team at Endgame Economics have written this introductory three-part guide to market modelling in the NEM. This is Part 1: "Building the Arena"
In this article we explore the 2024 ESOO, and linked documents, in terms of what's assumed for coal unit EFOR - and why, in the light of recent improvements in coal unit performance (compared to 2022).
Almost 2.5 years since we released GenInsights21, today we're publishing this article that contains a precis of the analysis included as Appendix 27 under the title 'Exploring Wind Diversity'.
In Part 2 of their modelling and analysis project, David Leitch and Paul Bandarian discuss the modelled results of their sharpe ratio-maximised VRE system, including additional considerations regarding transmission.
It's Friday 15th December 2023 and the AEMO has published its draft of the 2024 ISP, in time for everyone's Christmas reading list
This morning I was fortunate to listen into an ESIG Webinar with respect to their report 'Weather Dataset Needs for Planning and Analyzing Modern Power Systems'
Dan Lee looks at twenty years of capacity factors for wind farms to see if they are improving in line with recent discussion and long-term modelling assumptions.